Any thoughts on the scenarios after tomorrow nights voting.

http://theresurgent.com/the-scalia-factor-with-undecided-voters/

QuoteOf those who had broken to Cruz, three of them did so because of Scalia's passing and the other three had locked their vote in for Cruz because of Scalia's passing.

Of the undecideds who were not committed, but leaning to Cruz, almost all of them said the Scalia death was leaning them toward Cruz.

A small sample, but telling never the less. If you call yourself a conservative, Cruz is the only choice.

With Jeb! rolling out new positions of his yesterday, Im not so sure he gets out regardless of the outcome. Kumbaya Kasich said he is staying in no matter what til Michigan and Carson said he is staying in no matter what through the SEC Primary. The other 3; Trump, Cruz, and Rubio are obviously not dropping out.

If Jeb! does end up dropping out, unfortunately I think the vast majority of his voters will go to Rubio. Regardless of how much Jeb! has been beating up on Rubio, I believe Jeb! voters would go to Rubio.

Hypothetically if Kasich dropped out, I believe most of voters would unfortunately go to Trump. After Trump, Kasich is the most moderate left of the candidates. Sure Kumbaya Kasich is all about peace, love, positivity , and mail delivery; and Trump's bombastic vulgar mouth may not sit well with Kasich, but policy wide I believe his supporters would be attracted to move over to Trump.

Hypothetically if Carson dropped out, Im not so sure where his supports would go. Most obvious choice for his voters to go would be to Cruz, but from people Ive talked to and from things Ive read, many many Carson supporters were burned very badly over the Iowa thing and may be burned bad enough to choose Rubio now over Cruz.

Im not sure much will be changing after tomorrow night, or at any time, until the SEC Primaries arrive.

Personally, I'm hoping Kasich is still in the race, once they get to Ohio.

But only so I can vote against him.

Quote from: daidalos on February 19, 2016, 07:49:50 AM
Personally, I'm hoping Kasich is still in the race, once they get to Ohio.

But only so I can vote against him.

Without Ohio the GOP simply can't get it done. Without his home state, he is finished.

Quote from: mrconservative on February 19, 2016, 06:54:41 AM
With Jeb! rolling out new positions of his yesterday, Im not so sure he gets out regardless of the outcome. Kumbaya Kasich said he is staying in no matter what til Michigan and Carson said he is staying in no matter what through the SEC Primary. The other 3; Trump, Cruz, and Rubio are obviously not dropping out.

If Jeb! does end up dropping out, unfortunately I think the vast majority of his voters will go to Rubio. Regardless of how much Jeb! has been beating up on Rubio, I believe Jeb! voters would go to Rubio.

Hypothetically if Kasich dropped out, I believe most of voters would unfortunately go to Trump. After Trump, Kasich is the most moderate left of the candidates. Sure Kumbaya Kasich is all about peace, love, positivity , and mail delivery; and Trump's bombastic vulgar mouth may not sit well with Kasich, but policy wide I believe his supporters would be attracted to move over to Trump.

Hypothetically if Carson dropped out, Im not so sure where his supports would go. Most obvious choice for his voters to go would be to Cruz, but from people Ive talked to and from things Ive read, many many Carson supporters were burned very badly over the Iowa thing and may be burned bad enough to choose Rubio now over Cruz.

Im not sure much will be changing after tomorrow night, or at any time, until the SEC Primaries arrive.

Do Jeb?, Carson, Kasich & Rubio have any MONEY left to continue past Super Tuesday, or Nevada - any hopes of finding new money?

Quote from: Hoofer on February 20, 2016, 05:01:55 AM
Do Jeb?, Carson, Kasich & Rubio have any MONEY left to continue past Super Tuesday, or Nevada - any hopes of finding new money?

It is rarely mentioned that Trump has been deficient in fund raising. One wonders how long he will go using his own money. We shall see.

Leftist media is still fronting the majority of Trump's campaign.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/election-2016-campaign-money-race.html?_r=0

Quote from: Solar on February 20, 2016, 06:18:15 AM
Leftist media is still fronting the majority of Trump's campaign.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/election-2016-campaign-money-race.html?_r=0

Interesting chart, thanks for digging it up!

Ted Cruz (non-businessman) has raised 2x more than Donald Trump (businessman known for bankruptcies & eminent domain)
Bernie Sanders has ZERO super-PACs...?  Does that suggest, "nobody with any money would throw him a nickel?"

a quick comparison of Cruz, Rubio, Bush:

Cruz raises more via individual donors than super-PAC - hence alot of people like him.
Bush in particular and Rubio raised more via super-PAC - would that suggest the establishment types like them the most...?

MEH - better leave it to the experts.

But what happens after tonight's vote. Any predictions on the vote.

Quote from: Hoofer on February 20, 2016, 07:05:06 AM
Interesting chart, thanks for digging it up!

Ted Cruz (non-businessman) has raised 2x more than Donald Trump (businessman known for bankruptcies & eminent domain)
Bernie Sanders has ZERO super-PACs...?  Does that suggest, "nobody with any money would throw him a nickel?"

a quick comparison of Cruz, Rubio, Bush:

Cruz raises more via individual donors than super-PAC - hence alot of people like him.
Bush in particular and Rubio raised more via super-PAC - would that suggest the establishment types like them the most...?

MEH - better leave it to the experts.

One thing for certain, money is no guarantee of getting elected.
Unfortunately the breakdown doesn't go into enough detail, I do believe it exposes true organization in how one effectively spends funds, and Cruz not only has a superior message, as well as professional organization, his track record so far is evidence he'll be our next President.

Quote from: redsun on February 20, 2016, 07:20:00 AM
But what happens after tonight's vote. Any predictions on the vote.

a complete WAG... wild-ass-guess..

Republicans - high turnout
Cruz      28%
Trump   22%
Bush     18%
Rubio     12%
Carson   9%

Democrats - lower turnout due to Dems crossing over to vote for DT
Sanders   54%
Clinton     44%
Other         2%

Without Dems vote on the Reps side, I think it would be: Cruz, Bush, Rubio, Trump, Carson.

Quote from: Hoofer on February 20, 2016, 07:39:34 AM
a complete WAG... wild-ass-guess..

Republicans - high turnout
Cruz      28%
Trump   22%
Bush     18%
Rubio     12%
Carson   9%

Democrats - lower turnout due to Dems crossing over to vote for DT
Sanders   54%
Clinton     44%
Other         2%

Without Dems vote on the Reps side, I think it would be: Cruz, Bush, Rubio, Trump, Carson.

Sounds good. Hope the polls are wrong.

"What happens after South Carolina"?
Trump panics and goes nuts with all kinds of outlandish threats, while Rubio tries once again to remake who and what he is.
Too bad for him, Geppetto died over a century ago..