Great in-depth breakdown, with graphs and charts, by a skeptic...

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http://www.redstate.com/2012/10/26/why-i-think-obama-is-toast/

Barack Obama is toast. This is not something I say lightly. I generally try to remain cautious about predictions, because the prediction business is a humbling one. I have never been especially bullish on Mitt Romney, and I spent most of the summer and early fall arguing that this was basically a neck-and-neck race that would go down to the wire. But in the end, two things stand out:

One, Mitt Romney has a consistent, significant lead among independent voters, which increasingly looks like a double-digit lead. This is especially clear in national polls, but can also be seen in the key swing state polls. It's been a hard enough number for the past few weeks now, even as the last of the debates gets baked into the polls, that there's little chance that Obama can turn it around in the 11 days remaining in this race. In fact, Obama has been underwater with independents almost continuously since the middle of 2009.

Two, to overcome losing independents by more than a few points, Obama needs to have a decisive advantage in Democratic turnout, roughly on the order of – or in some places exceeding – the advantage he enjoyed in 2008, when Democrats nationally had a 7-point advantage (39-32). Yet nearly every indicator we have of turnout suggests that, relative to Republicans, the Democrats are behind where they were in 2008. Surveys by the two largest professional pollsters, Rasmussen and Gallup, actually suggest that Republicans will have a turnout advantage, which has happened only once (in the 2002 midterms) in the history of exit polling and probably hasn't happened in a presidential election year since the 1920s.

I hope so. Better purchase your Obama Chia Pet while you have the chance, because the Romney Chia Pets will be all the rage in a few weeks.

I can't wait for the Narcissist in Chief to give his concession speech. I wonder if him and Michelle will cry.

Quote from: Skeptic on October 26, 2012, 04:53:35 PM
I hope so. Better purchase your Obama Chia Pet while you have the chance, because the Romney Chia Pets will be all the rage in a few weeks.

I can't wait for the Narcissist in Chief to give his concession speech. I wonder if him and Michelle will cry.

If they shed any tears, it will be because they realize they now have to foot the bill for their expensive and excessive vacations! On the flip side, Barry O should be able to make a decent living preaching Socialism to useful idiots around the country. Plus he'll still have his $200K+ per year public pensions, which I think he should have forfeited when he racked up $6 trillion dollars in irresponsible new debts.