Conservative Political Forum

General Category => Political Discussion and Debate => Topic started by: Solar on January 05, 2016, 08:01:08 AM

Title: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: Solar on January 05, 2016, 08:01:08 AM
A new NBC Bay Area Field Poll shows Republican candidate Ted Cruz has surged in popularity when it comes to California voters.
According to a the poll, Cruz has 25 percent, while Trump has 23 percent.
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio is in third with 13 percent.
Retired neurosurgeon neurosurgeon Ben Carson has fallen to 9 percent.
Former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina remains near the bottom of the pack at 3 percent.

http://www.nbcbayarea.com/news/california/Field-Poll-Shows-Cruz-Ahead-of-Trump-Among-California-Voters-364194801.html
Title: Re: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: Solar on January 05, 2016, 08:07:31 AM
It gets even better.
You can view the metrics at the link.


GOP voter support for Ted Cruz has surged in California over the past three months and the Texas
Senator has now moved into a statistical tie with businessman Donald Trump for the lead in this
state's Republican presidential primary. Cruz is the first choice of 25% of likely GOP voters in the
latest statewide Field Poll, while Trump is backed by 23%. Florida Senator Marco Rubio is now in
third at 13%, while support for retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson has fallen to 9%. Each of the other
Republicans vying for their party's presidential nomination poll in single digits.
Despite the closeness of the standings between Cruz and Trump, other results from the poll indicate
that Trump is in a weaker position than Cruz, and in some respects Rubio, among all GOP voters, as
well as the broader statewide electorate. For example, just 11% of likely GOP voters name Trump
as their second choice preference for president, while twice as many (22%) say this in regard to
Cruz. Another 14% choose Rubio as their second choice.
Many more California Republican primary voters also have an unfavorable opinion of Trump (45%)
than say this about Cruz (20%) or Rubio (26%). Similarly, greater than four in ten Republican
voters (43%) say they would be dissatisfied or upset were Trump to become their party's nominee,
while only about half as many say this about Cruz (21%) or Rubio (24%). This means that Trump is
in a weaker position to broaden his support among the state's GOP electorate should voters now
supporting other candidates change their minds and migrate to one of other Republicans as the June
California primary draws nearer.
Finally, when the state's overall registered voter population, not just likely Republican primary
voters, are asked their opinions of the three leading GOP candidates, many more Californians (73%)
say they hold an unfavorable opinion of Trump than say this about Cruz (51%) or Rubio (46%).
http://field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2521.pdf
Title: Re: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: kroz on January 05, 2016, 10:27:12 AM
Yeah, this is terrific news for Ted.  He should make this part of his stump speech.  Voters need to know that if California can support Ted, any State can!!!   :ohmy:

I read about it in your Sacramento Bee...

http://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/field-polls/article53030630.html
Title: Re: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: Solar on January 05, 2016, 11:04:33 AM
Quote from: kroz on January 05, 2016, 10:27:12 AM
Yeah, this is terrific news for Ted.  He should make this part of his stump speech.  Voters need to know that if California can support Ted, any State can!!!   :ohmy:

I read about it in your Sacramento Bee...

http://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/field-polls/article53030630.html
Ahhh yes, the Sactopravda, as we locals call it.
I'm telling ya, even Ca is in play, now that the Dim party destroyed itself by electing an American hating Marxist. :thumbsup:
Title: Re: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: kroz on January 05, 2016, 11:33:02 AM
Cruz's newest ad.....

http://www.newsmax.com/Headline/Ted-Cruz-Releases-Ad/2016/01/05/id/708210/?ns_mail_uid=38679189&ns_mail_job=1648444_01052016&s=al&dkt_nbr=g7l6ogib
Title: Re: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: Traninit on January 05, 2016, 11:51:38 AM
This is great news! Mexifornia? Really?! Whoda thunk it?
Title: Re: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: supsalemgr on January 05, 2016, 11:57:39 AM
It is not all that surprising to me. CA pubs are a pretty conservative lot - they are just outnumbered by the multitude of democrats.
Title: Re: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: kroz on January 05, 2016, 12:14:27 PM
Quote from: supsalemgr on January 05, 2016, 11:57:39 AM
It is not all that surprising to me. CA pubs are a pretty conservative lot - they are just outnumbered by the multitude of democrats.

But their GOP delegates are just as valuable as any other State!!   :thumbsup:

I would have thought that "conservative" in California would have a different definition than it has in the midwest.  :ohmy:
Title: Re: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: Cryptic Bert on January 05, 2016, 12:14:57 PM
Quote from: supsalemgr on January 05, 2016, 11:57:39 AM
It is not all that surprising to me. CA pubs are a pretty conservative lot - they are just outnumbered by the multitude of democrats.

They're all going to need to turn out if they are going to offset the loons in LA and San Fransisco.
Title: Re: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: Solar on January 05, 2016, 12:15:42 PM
Quote from: supsalemgr on January 05, 2016, 11:57:39 AM
It is not all that surprising to me. CA pubs are a pretty conservative lot - they are just outnumbered by the multitude of democrats.
More Gerrymandering than anything.
Title: Re: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: kroz on January 05, 2016, 12:17:10 PM
Quote from: The Boo Man... on January 05, 2016, 12:14:57 PM
They're all going to need to turn out if they are going to offset the loons in LA and San Fransisco.

I don't expect that those loons will be voting in the GOP primary.

It is understood that the Calif Republicans will be massacred in the General Election.
Title: Re: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: Solar on January 05, 2016, 12:41:08 PM
Quote from: kroz on January 05, 2016, 12:17:10 PM
I don't expect that those loons will be voting in the GOP primary.

It is understood that the Calif Republicans will be massacred in the General Election.
Maybe not, consider who, or what they have to get excited about. :lol:
Title: Re: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: supsalemgr on January 05, 2016, 12:48:40 PM
Quote from: kroz on January 05, 2016, 12:14:27 PM
But their GOP delegates are just as valuable as any other State!!   :thumbsup:

I would have thought that "conservative" in California would have a different definition than it has in the midwest.  :ohmy:

Solar, please correct if I am wrong. Kroz, many of these folks work in agriculture like the midwest. They are not on the coast, except maybe in San Diego.
Title: Re: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: Solar on January 05, 2016, 02:01:21 PM
Quote from: supsalemgr on January 05, 2016, 12:48:40 PM
Solar, please correct if I am wrong. Kroz, many of these folks work in agriculture like the midwest. They are not on the coast, except maybe in San Diego.
The majority of the state is rural and Conservative, it's because of a few liberal hubs, Gerrymandered beyond reason that gives the left their control over the state.
It's the reason I say Ca is in play, because these lib hubs are not excited over their prospects of choosing between an old socialist and a Marxist.
They'll stay home, while the Right is angry and fired up to vote.
Title: Re: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: mdgiles on January 05, 2016, 02:33:52 PM
Quote from: Solar on January 05, 2016, 12:15:42 PM
More Gerrymandering than anything.
Not to mention vote fraud on a massive scale. These are Demorats we're talking about after all!
Title: Re: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: kroz on January 05, 2016, 03:10:29 PM
Quote from: Solar on January 05, 2016, 02:01:21 PM
The majority of the state is rural and Conservative, it's because of a few liberal hubs, Gerrymandered beyond reason that gives the left their control over the state.
It's the reason I say Ca is in play, because these lib hubs are not excited over their prospects of choosing between an old socialist and a Marxist.
They'll stay home, while the Right is angry and fired up to vote.

Well, that is good to know.

But Giles is probably right.  They have been working very hard to get the illegals registered to vote!!
Title: Re: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: Solar on January 05, 2016, 03:39:02 PM
Quote from: mdgiles on January 05, 2016, 02:33:52 PM
Not to mention vote fraud on a massive scale. These are Demorats we're talking about after all!
No doubt. I guess at least 30% and most of them are illegals.
Title: Re: Guess Who Holds Statistical Lead in Ca?
Post by: Hoofer on January 05, 2016, 04:54:35 PM
It was cold and dreary in Virginia today - leave it to a Californian poll to BRIGHTEN things up!   Wonderful news!

Imagine Cruz winning California in the General....   whoa!