Conservative Political Forum

General Category => Political Discussion and Debate => Topic started by: taxed on November 26, 2024, 06:50:02 PM

Title: And the award for the most accurate pollster in 2024 goes to...
Post by: taxed on November 26, 2024, 06:50:02 PM
Rich Baris.

Look how shocked we are.

https://twitter.com/PollWatch2020/status/1861423131174261007
Title: Re: And the award for the most accurate pollster in 2024 goes to...
Post by: taxed on November 26, 2024, 06:50:40 PM
The tweet content:

QuoteEnough data is in to offer our TOP POLLSTER RANKING for the 2024 NATIONAL POPULAR VOTE

Our standard is proximity to the Trump +1.6% winning margin  (Trump 49.85% to Harris 48.27% as of Nov 26).

Note: We use how pollsters did in the "multi-candidate" (not head-to-head), and those within 1.0% of the winning margin.

1. Baris/Big Data Poll: Trump +1.7% (off 0.1%)
2. Wall Street Journal: Trump +2.0% (off 0.4%)
3. Atlas Intel: Trump +1.1% (off 0.5%)
4. Activote: Trump +1.0% (off 0.6%)
4. NY Times/Siena: Trump +1.0% (off 0.6%)
6. Rasmussen Reports: Trump +2.4% (off 0.8%)
6. Quantus Insights: Trump +0.8% (off 0.8%)
8. SoCal Strategies: Trump +0.7% (off 0.9%)

Note: Several other pollsters were within 1.5% and 2.0%, which is quite good.
Note: If a pollster only did head-to-head we used that.

If you see anything that is off let us know.
Title: Re: And the award for the most accurate pollster in 2024 goes to...
Post by: Solar on November 26, 2024, 06:55:08 PM
Have you seen this? :bigl  :bigl  :bigl  :bigl
BUSTED!!!


https://www.realclearpolitics.com/rcp-pollster-scorecard/
Title: Re: And the award for the most accurate pollster in 2024 goes to...
Post by: taxed on November 26, 2024, 06:58:53 PM
Quote from: Solar on November 26, 2024, 06:55:08 PMHave you seen this? :bigl  :bigl  :bigl  :bigl
BUSTED!!!


https://www.realclearpolitics.com/rcp-pollster-scorecard/

Holy crap. The whole industry should just shut down.
Title: Re: And the award for the most accurate pollster in 2024 goes to...
Post by: Solar on November 26, 2024, 06:59:46 PM
Quote from: taxed on November 26, 2024, 06:58:53 PMHoly crap. The whole industry should just BE shut down.
FIFY... :laugh:
Title: Re: And the award for the most accurate pollster in 2024 goes to...
Post by: T Hunt on December 02, 2024, 11:58:22 AM
Quote from: taxed on November 26, 2024, 06:58:53 PMHoly crap. The whole industry should just shut down.

They are just a propaganda machine to make the dems cheating seem legit
Title: Re: And the award for the most accurate pollster in 2024 goes to...
Post by: Solar on December 03, 2024, 07:24:38 AM
Quote from: T Hunt on December 02, 2024, 11:58:22 AMThey are just a propaganda machine to make the dems cheating seem legit
BINGO!!!
Title: Re: And the award for the most accurate pollster in 2024 goes to...
Post by: supsalemgr on December 03, 2024, 08:26:29 AM
When it comes to Trump folks have figured out his support is always under supported. I saw a clip with some Harris campaign talking head and she admitted their polling always had her behind. Trump kept saying he was ahead by a lot and he was correct.
Title: Re: And the award for the most accurate pollster in 2024 goes to...
Post by: Solar on December 05, 2024, 03:50:08 AM
Quote from: supsalemgr on December 03, 2024, 08:26:29 AMWhen it comes to Trump folks have figured out his support is always under supported. I saw a clip with some Harris campaign talking head and she admitted their polling always had her behind. Trump kept saying he was ahead by a lot and he was correct.
It's funny, everyone in the world knew it, even the bettors were nailing the numbers, but libs and DC seemed to be conveniently stupid. :biggrin: