Today's Primaries/Caucuses

Started by Fishman, March 05, 2016, 12:50:03 PM

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Cali Contrarian

The way Kentucky is reporting the vote.....seems like they aren't reporting anything until the count is 100% complete at the county level. That's probably why we're getting mostly smaller counties first. Something like 29% of the precincts reporting so far, but that might be only about 15-16% of the vote. When the big counties do report, it could be a big swing.

LibDave

Quote from: Cali Contrarian on March 05, 2016, 05:47:12 PM
The way Kentucky is reporting the vote.....seems like they aren't reporting anything until the count is 100% complete at the county level. That's probably why we're getting mostly smaller counties first. Something like 29% of the precincts reporting so far, but that might be only about 15-16% of the vote. When the big counties do report, it could be a big swing.

Yes this is normal.  If you've ever worked as a polling worker or organizer it is much easier to call the at-large delegates than it is to call the district delegates.  The district delegates tend to be much closer and difficult to call all of them prior to a complete count.  At-large delegates are only a problem when the candidate is close to the threshold.

All the delegates in Kentucky are chosen proportional by district.  No at-large so it will take a higher percentage reporting before they will be called.

mrconservative

WOW. Cruz wins Maine by 13!

The Maine GOP Chairman just announced it.
The power of the American people, when we rise up and stand for liberty, knows no bounds. - Ted Cruz

#NEVERTRUMP

LibDave

#108
Quote from: LibDave on March 05, 2016, 04:03:13 PM
Kansas Caucus rules:
    25 delegates at-large proportional distribution 10% threshold
    12 delegates (3/district) proportional distribution.
     3 delegates seated integrated.
40 total delegates
Final results C24 T9 R6 K1

Maine Caucus rules:
    23 delegates at-large.  50/10 Mixed distribution.
Results C12 T9 K1 1 unassigned

Kentucky Caucus rules:
    45 delegates at-large with proportional distribution 5% threshold

Louisianna Primary rules:
    26 delegates at-large proportional 20% threshold
    18 delegates (3/district) proportional no threshold
    3 delegates integrated

Here comes Louisiana!!!!

Cali Contrarian

Quote from: LibDave on March 05, 2016, 05:50:00 PM
Yes this is normal.  If you've ever worked as a polling worker or organizer it is much easier to call the at-large delegates than it is to call the district delegates.  The district delegates tend to be much closer and difficult to call all of them prior to a complete count.  At-large delegates are only a problem when the candidate is close to the threshold.

All the delegates in Kentucky are chosen proportional by district.  No at-large so it will take a higher percentage reporting before they will be called.

I'm not talking about delegates, I'm talking about votes. And regardless of how normal it may be, it is not how most of the states have gone about reporting so far in this primary cycle.

mrconservative

Cruz gets 12 delegates in Maine, Trump gets 9 delegates, Kasich gets 1. Marco 0
The power of the American people, when we rise up and stand for liberty, knows no bounds. - Ted Cruz

#NEVERTRUMP

taxed

Quote from: mrconservative on March 05, 2016, 05:51:04 PM
WOW. Cruz wins Maine by 13!

The Maine GOP Chairman just announced it.

Nice!!!
#PureBlood #TrumpWon

Double D

Boy, take Rubio out of the picture and Cruz cleans friggin house! Go Ted!
Liberalism is a very serious, non curable mental disorder.....

LibDave

#113
Quote from: Double D on March 05, 2016, 06:02:09 PM
Boy, take Rubio out of the picture and Cruz cleans friggin house! Go Ted!

LOL.  Another one of those guys huh?

The only reason Hillary is leading in the DNC is because of the ridiculous number of Super Delegates.  Jeez!  25% of the delegates are super delegates.  Hillary could lose 2 to 1 and still tie Sanders.

Fishman

Great night for Cruz...woot! I love the fact that the media can't ignore him tonight... :thumbup:
You make me wanna roll my windows down and Cruz!

mrconservative

Trump continuing to pull away in Kentucky. Initial votes in for Louisiana have Trump up huge.
The power of the American people, when we rise up and stand for liberty, knows no bounds. - Ted Cruz

#NEVERTRUMP

tac

The Trump supporters must be in utter shock!  :lol:

taxed

Quote from: LibDave on March 05, 2016, 06:04:04 PM
LOL.  Another one of those guys huh?

The only reason Hillary is leading in the DNC is because of the ridiculous number of Super Delegates.  Jeez!  25% of the delegates are super delegates.  Hillary could lose 2 to 1 and still tie Sanders.

Bye loser.
#PureBlood #TrumpWon

Cali Contrarian

I just ran a check.....Trump has thus far won in just 2 counties where the average income is higher than the (modest) state average. Both of those, Bullitt and Clark Counties, are hardly what you'd call affluent.

The problem is, Trump is winning depressed counties by large margins, while Cruz is squeaking by in more affluent areas. Just the same, I think the final tally will show a result considerably closer than what seems to be indicated now.

taxed

Quote from: Cali Contrarian on March 05, 2016, 06:16:26 PM
I just ran a check.....Trump has thus far won in just 2 counties where the average income is higher than the (modest) state average. Both of those, Bullitt and Clark Counties, are hardly what you'd call affluent.

The problem is, Trump is winning depressed counties by large margins, while Cruz is squeaking by in more affluent areas. Just the same, I think the final tally will show a result considerably closer than what seems to be indicated now.

Interesting..... 
#PureBlood #TrumpWon