Cruz will finish second, says The Right Scoop.

http://therightscoop.com/donald-trump-wins-mississippi/

Quote from: mrconservative on March 08, 2016, 05:45:38 PM
Right now, all signs point to Trump winning easily in MS. If Kasich and Rubio finish in single digits there and Trump wins by double digits, then that says to me that Rubio votes in MS have largely went to Trump and not Cruz.

Theres a 50% threshold to take all delegates in MS. That would be devestating if Trump broke 50%.

Also, it doesnt appears at the moment that Cruz getting the MS Gov endorsement has made little difference.

I don't know how familiar you are with Mississippi politics. It is a notoriously corrupt state. A true establishment stronghold in the south. Temper expectations accordingly.

At the rate things have been trending as more and more votes come in, Cruz may jump Kasich and finish 2nd in Michigan.

Quote from: mrconservative on March 08, 2016, 05:50:30 PM
At the rate things have been trending as more and more votes come in, Cruz may jump Kasich and finish 2nd in Michigan.

I'd like to speculate about that in relation to where the vote is coming from, but the DD map is so skewed, it reflects nothing of the actual geography of Michigan. Makes it harder to relat the names of the counties to where they are actually located and how they are composed. I could use a map, but it still makes it more work mentally.

Quote from: Cali Contrarian on March 08, 2016, 05:54:54 PM
I'd like to speculate about that in relation to where the vote is coming from, but the DD map is so skewed, it reflects nothing of the actual geography of Michigan. Makes it harder to relat the names of the counties to where they are actually located and how they are composed. I could use a map, but it still makes it more work mentally.

QuoteDecision Desk HQ
‏@DecisionDeskHQ
Trump leading, and Cruz climbed ahead to 2nd in our projection in Michigan. Rubio a distant 4th.

3% in for MS and Trump still staying above 50%

Quote from: Cali Contrarian on March 08, 2016, 05:54:54 PM
I'd like to speculate about that in relation to where the vote is coming from, but the DD map is so skewed, it reflects nothing of the actual geography of Michigan. Makes it harder to relat the names of the counties to where they are actually located and how they are composed. I could use a map, but it still makes it more work mentally.

A state undergoing political change - the hard way.

Looks like Trump could get the 50% out of Mississippi, but only because it is essentially a two man race. Rubio's numbers are miniscule. Man, has he crashed!

Quote from: Cali Contrarian on March 08, 2016, 06:03:10 PM
Looks like Trump could get the 50% out of Mississippi, but only because it is essentially a two man race. Rubio's numbers are miniscule. Man, has he crashed!

Trump hitting 50% and getting all delegates would be devastating for Cruz, in my opinion.

Cruz winning handily in Ottawa county, the most conservative in the state......

Kasich leading early in Washtenaw county (Ann Arbor) which doesn't bode well for Cruz getting second, because when Wayne county (Detroit) comes in, it figures to resemble Washtenaw somewhat (and Oakland). Of course, the open primary could skew that, but I don't think it will very much.

Studying Mississippi.....

Humphreys county, first of the "black belt" counties I see reporting (other than Hinds)....17% of the vote to "other." Is that Ben Carson? There isn't going to be a ton of Republican vote coming out of that area, but wouldn't it be something if Ben Carson held Trump short of 50%?

Quote from: Cali Contrarian on March 08, 2016, 06:35:36 PM
Studying Mississippi.....

Humphreys county, first of the "black belt" counties I see reporting (other than Hinds)....17% of the vote to "other." Is that Ben Carson? There isn't going to be a ton of Republican vote coming out of that area, but wouldn't it be something if Ben Carson held Trump short of 50%?

If Trump finishes with 49.9% in Mississippi, would it round up to 50% and give Trump all the delegates?

Cruz crushing it in Kent County in Michigan. If he kills it in Ionia County, odds are he pulls ahead of Kasich.

Quote from: mrconservative on March 08, 2016, 06:48:19 PM
Cruz crushing it in Kent County in Michigan. If he kills it in Ionia County, odds are he pulls ahead of Kasich.

Ha. I was just going to post the same thing, similar at least. It's Western Michigan vs Detroit metro. I'm still going to predict Kasich to edge him out, just because Detroit metro is so huge. I really don't think it matters though.

Quote from: mrconservative on March 08, 2016, 06:46:20 PM
If Trump finishes with 49.9% in Mississippi, would it round up to 50% and give Trump all the delegates?

My understanding (pretty sure) is NO.