Today's Primaries/Caucuses

Started by Fishman, March 05, 2016, 12:50:03 PM

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Cali Contrarian

Quote from: taxed on March 05, 2016, 04:45:38 PM
I'm hoping they have enough data to make that call....  otherwise they take a credibility hit.

They are posting official precinct reports.....just doing it faster, and not necessarily in the same sequence as major media outlets.

Bowhntr

So it LOOKS like 2 wins for Cruz so far and Kentucky is gonna be close.  Could Cruz actually win Louisiana and make this a 3 of 4 night?  Or maybe even pull off the sweep???

LibDave

8PM EST approaching.  Louisiana results should start coming in soon.

taxed

Quote from: Cali Contrarian on March 05, 2016, 04:49:08 PM


They are posting official precinct reports.....just doing it faster, and not necessarily in the same sequence as major media outlets.

Excellent..............
#PureBlood #TrumpWon

Cali Contrarian

Quote from: Cali Contrarian on March 05, 2016, 04:49:08 PM


They are posting official precinct reports.....just doing it faster, and not necessarily in the same sequence as major media outlets.

I should clarify......sometimes they post the only vote for certain candidates for a given precinct. For instance, they might have Trump 653, Cruz 0, until the next refresh. Then they'll catch up. Watch out to make sure they have everybody's votes cast every time they post fresh results.

LibDave

Quote from: Bowhntr on March 05, 2016, 04:49:11 PM
So it LOOKS like 2 wins for Cruz so far and Kentucky is gonna be close.  Could Cruz actually win Louisiana and make this a 3 of 4 night?  Or maybe even pull off the sweep???

Not really 2 wins for Cruz.  Look at the rules.  Main will essentially be damn near a tie.  Slight win doesn't mean anything in Maine unless you get above 50%.  So Maine won't help Cruz make up much ground.
Same for Kentucky with Trump.  Trump will reportedly finish with slight lead in Kentucky and rules make it a wash (about even delegates).  Claiming a win by a few percentage points is just bragging rights for the stupid.
It is Kansas where Cruz got a good win.  2/3 to 1/3 of the delegates.
Louisiana will be interesting.  Pre-primary polling indicated a 20% point lead for Trump.

taxed

Quote from: LibDave on March 05, 2016, 04:54:46 PM
Not really 2 wins for Cruz.  Look at the rules.  Main will essentially be damn near a tie.  Slight win doesn't mean anything in Maine unless you get above 50%.  So Maine won't help Cruz make up much ground.
Same for Kentucky with Trump.  Trump will reportedly finish with slight lead in Kentucky and rules make it a wash (about even delegates).  Claiming a win but a few percentage points is just bragging rights for the stupid.
It is Kansas where Cruz got a good win.  2/3 to 1/3 of the delegates.
Louisiana will be interesting.  Pre-primary polling indicated a 20% point lead for Trump.

You are showing how stupid you are right now.  Do you know that?  This has nothing to do with delegates.
#PureBlood #TrumpWon

LibDave

Quote from: taxed on March 05, 2016, 04:56:26 PM
You are showing how stupid you are right now.  Do you know that?  This has nothing to do with delegates.

Nothing to do with delegates?  Are you retarded?  The convention is ALL ABOUT delegates.

mrconservative

Quote from: LibDave on March 05, 2016, 04:58:36 PM
Nothing to do with delegates?  Are you retarded?  The convention is ALL ABOUT delegates.

Endgame, yes, it has to do with delegates. But right now, it also has to do with bragging rights to point out the fact that Cruz, and only Cruz, is alternative option to Trump - not Rubio, not Kasich.
The power of the American people, when we rise up and stand for liberty, knows no bounds. - Ted Cruz

#NEVERTRUMP

taxed

Quote from: LibDave on March 05, 2016, 04:58:36 PM
Nothing to do with delegates?
Correct.

Quote
  Are you retarded?
No.

Quote
  The convention is ALL ABOUT delegates.
Yes, but Cruz winning ME is a statement.  The delegate count isn't relevant.
#PureBlood #TrumpWon

LibDave

Quote from: mrconservative on March 05, 2016, 05:01:18 PM
Endgame, yes, it has to do with delegates. But right now, it also has to do with bragging rights to point out the fact that Cruz, and only Cruz, is alternative option to Trump - not Rubio, not Kasich.

HAHA.  You don't understand primaries at all.  Or the rules or ANYTHING about politics.  Who cares about bragging rights?  That doesn't get you anything.

Cali Contrarian

Quote from: LibDave on March 05, 2016, 04:58:36 PM
Nothing to do with delegates?  Are you retarded?  The convention is ALL ABOUT delegates.

The campaign is also about perception at this point. Delegate counts won't be decisive in proportional states like these, no matter what. Perception of momentum going forward is still key at this stage.

LibDave

Quote from: Cali Contrarian on March 05, 2016, 05:03:32 PM
The campaign is also about perception at this point. Delegate counts won't be decisive in proportional states like these, no matter what. Perception of momentum going forward is still key at this stage.

Well you keep counting "perception" HAHA.  That way you can pretend and stick your  head in the sand.  The rest of the convention will count delegates.

BTW, I mentioned this to you earlier about proportional votes and pointed out it is precisely why it would be difficult for Cruz to catch up.  There is something else you aren't aware of in regards to primaries.  Kansas and Maine aren't as important for 2 reasons.  They aren't Red States and they aren't all that populated.

taxed

Quote from: LibDave on March 05, 2016, 05:03:06 PM
HAHA.  You don't understand primaries at all.  Or the rules or ANYTHING about politics.  Who cares about bragging rights?  That doesn't get you anything.

You are wearing thin on me.  You can be  liberal all you want, but you need to bring something to the table.  The campaign is not live or die by a few delegates right now.  Trump was polling so high in Maine, they were going to anoint him King of Maine.  Yet, it's competitive, despite Trumpers, like yourself trying to spin otherwise against common sense.   You don't understand this, so it's confusing to you.
#PureBlood #TrumpWon

Cali Contrarian

Major metro areas not reporting yet in KY. I expect Cruz will close somewhat. Just depends how far Rubio/Kasich have fallen. Cruz will pick up the lion's share of that vote. I think Jefferson and Fayette Counties could start to tell us if it will ultimately be very close, or if Trump posts a fairly routine win.