Today's Primaries/Caucuses

Started by Fishman, March 05, 2016, 12:50:03 PM

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mrconservative

Quote from: Bowhntr on March 08, 2016, 07:26:07 PM
Only 2100 votes between Kasich and Cruz now in Michigan!

Kasich still wins more delegates due to how delegates are distributed in districts.
The power of the American people, when we rise up and stand for liberty, knows no bounds. - Ted Cruz

#NEVERTRUMP

mrconservative

90% of the vote in for MS and Trump at 47.6%. No way he hits the threshold of 50% to automatically get all the delegates. That may not matter though. Trump will probably still get all the delegates based on winning every congressional district.
The power of the American people, when we rise up and stand for liberty, knows no bounds. - Ted Cruz

#NEVERTRUMP

Bowhntr

Quote from: mrconservative on March 08, 2016, 07:27:28 PM
Kasich still wins more delegates due to how delegates are distributed in districts.

Those delegates havent been confirmed yet have they?  I thought there were delegates for each place then the districts.  However, it looks like Rubio is being blanked totally tonight so far!

mrconservative

Quote from: Bowhntr on March 08, 2016, 07:30:20 PM
Those delegates havent been confirmed yet have they?  I thought there were delegates for each place then the districts.  However, it looks like Rubio is being blanked totally tonight so far!

Nothings been confirmed yet for either MI or MS.
The power of the American people, when we rise up and stand for liberty, knows no bounds. - Ted Cruz

#NEVERTRUMP

Cali Contrarian

Quote from: mrconservative on March 08, 2016, 07:29:45 PM
90% of the vote in for MS and Trump at 47.6%. No way he hits the threshold of 50% to automatically get all the delegates. That may not matter though. Trump will probably still get all the delegates based on winning every congressional district.

MS still might snug up to that 50% mark, based on what's out. Could be a close call. Still nothing from the counties with the big public universities....if Cruz does OK there (Oktibbeha and Lafayette) he should survive. Regarding delegates, this should be instructive:

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/MS-R

mrconservative

For the purpose of bragging rights, Cruz is 600 votes behind Kasich in MI with almost half of Kent County still needing to come in.
The power of the American people, when we rise up and stand for liberty, knows no bounds. - Ted Cruz

#NEVERTRUMP

Cali Contrarian

Quote from: mrconservative on March 08, 2016, 07:47:14 PM
For the purpose of bragging rights, Cruz is 600 votes behind Kasich in MI with almost half of Kent County still needing to come in.

And half of Wayne county. If it mattered, it would be pretty nerve-wracking.

mrconservative

The power of the American people, when we rise up and stand for liberty, knows no bounds. - Ted Cruz

#NEVERTRUMP

Bowhntr


Cali Contrarian

Quote from: Cali Contrarian on March 08, 2016, 07:38:07 PM
MS still might snug up to that 50% mark, based on what's out. Could be a close call. Still nothing from the counties with the big public universities....if Cruz does OK there (Oktibbeha and Lafayette) he should survive. Regarding delegates, this should be instructive:

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/MS-R

Oktibbeha came in with Cruz winning. That should do it. In the final tally, when I look for best demographic indicator, it seems to be educational attainment above all else.

Cali Contrarian

Some more Wayne county came in with Cruz performing better in relation to what he'd gotten there earlier. He has a decent chance of edging Kasich.

mrconservative

Things tightening in ID with 17% in
The power of the American people, when we rise up and stand for liberty, knows no bounds. - Ted Cruz

#NEVERTRUMP

Cali Contrarian

Cruz up comfortably in Idaho early, but the rural Mormon areas are over represented in the count so far. Should tighten up, other than the other way around.

Cali Contrarian

Ada county (Boise) almost tied in early precincts. We can see where this is headed.....comfortable Cruz win, doesn't threaten 50%.

mrconservative

Cruz lead grows as more comes in. Now slightly over 41%
The power of the American people, when we rise up and stand for liberty, knows no bounds. - Ted Cruz

#NEVERTRUMP