Political models forecast Trump win

Started by ldub23, May 27, 2019, 03:57:06 PM

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Solar

I saw this earlier today and laughed my ass off.
I've said it before and I'll say it again, Trump will rock the world with an historic landslide win. About 30% of the base didn't support Trump in 2016, add to that, libs that have seen the light, add even more, the libs that refuse to support a Marxist Dim party, and you have history unfolding before your very eyes.
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Possum

Quote from: ldub23 on May 27, 2019, 03:57:06 PM
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/05/27/opinion/trumps-formidable-2020-tailwind.html

Its early though but a good sign.
just the kind of information hillary needs to give her that confident push.....................Can she run from a jailhouse?

Cryptic Bert

It's early but I don't see how they will beat him. They can't get their message together. Right now there are some things they can hit him with like tariffs and the failure to get healthcare legislation passed. Those are issues they can spin to their advantage but they're focused on things no one cares about or things that scare the crap out of people.

However what gives Trump the advantage is he puts America first. The democrats put everyone ahead of America.

ldub23

Quote from: Solar on May 27, 2019, 04:36:00 PM
I saw this earlier today and laughed my ass off.
I've said it before and I'll say it again, Trump will rock the world with an historic landslide win. About 30% of the base didn't support Trump in 2016, add to that, libs that have seen the light, add even more, the libs that refuse to support a Marxist Dim party, and you have history unfolding before your very eyes.

Lets wait and see what the economy does  in 2020. Also, dont  underestimate the Romney ass wing  of the party. They could run a vomit  like Kasich on a third  party.

Solar

Quote from: ldub23 on May 27, 2019, 05:21:35 PM
Lets wait and see what the economy does  in 2020. Also, dont  underestimate the Romney ass wing  of the party. They could run a vomit  like Kasich on a third  party.
Nah, Trump's base is not abandoning him for anything, that is a locked in win by itself.
Seriously, what is the alternative? Not one damn thing.
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Cryptic Bert

Quote from: Solar on May 27, 2019, 07:47:40 PM
Nah, Trump's base is not abandoning him for anything, that is a locked in win by itself.
Seriously, what is the alternative? Not one damn thing.
Didn't they predict the economy was going to slow this quarter?

Solar

Quote from: The Boo Man... on May 27, 2019, 07:49:52 PM
Didn't they predict the economy was going to slow this quarter?
Yep, and they said Hillary would win in a landslide. Bettors are betting Trump nails it. And that was August of last year


"His poll numbers really don't slow people from betting on him," Mason said. "So, lowering the number is more about managing risk. We've learned that it doesn't matter what he does, tweet, who he offends, et cetera. Bettors are still pounding him at plus money."

One reason is that the Democrats don't have a candidate, and won't for a while. BetOnline is drawing the most bets on potential challengers Senator Kamala Harris (9-2 odds) and former Vice President Joe Biden (5-1 odds) to win the Democratic Party's nomination.

Harris, the senator from California, opened at 33-1, slipped to 40-1 and is now 12-1 overall. But Mason said of Harris and Biden, the top Democratic challengers, "There are 12 times more bets on Trump than both of these combined."

Senator Bernie Sanders faces 11-2 odds to win the Democratic nomination but is tied with Harris for second in the presidential race. Biden is at 14-1, tied with Vice President Mike Pence. Democratic senators Elizabeth Warren and Cory Booker, plus the billionaire businessman Tom Steyer, are each 20-1.

Trump's standing as a sitting president does make him more attractive to bettors.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davecaldwell/2018/08/16/his-poll-numbers-really-dont-slow-people-from-betting-on-trump-in-2020/#3de84fab5e0f


Here's the latest. and it looks like a funeral for the left. :lol: :lol: :lol:

https://www.electionbettingodds.com/
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