If there's one thing Erick Erickson at RINO State is good at it's breaking down polls.  He makes some good points about the current state of polling:

http://www.redstate.com/2014/10/22/the-end/

QuoteThe public has tired of Barack Obama. More and more polling is beginning to reflect that and, given the latest Associated Press and Reuters polling, I wonder if some pollsters showing very close races are actually overcompensating because of 2012.

That point is worth considering first. Having talked to a number of pollsters, both Democrat and Republican, there are a few good, credible pollsters who called 2012 right who wonder if some pollsters are overcompensating. In 2012, a number of polling companies, including Gallup and Rasmussen, got the results very wrong. They overestimated Romney's strength and underestimated a host of demographics turning out for President Obama.

Several pollsters I have talked to, who do not see the closeness some pollsters are seeing and who called 2012 right, think other pollsters may be over-correcting to try to avoid their own 2012. In the process, these pollsters may be getting 2014 wrong. It does seem, at the state by state level, there are a few races that look a lot closer than they should be — particularly now that we know Democrats have missed their voter registration targets significantly in a number of states.

Quote from: taxed on October 22, 2014, 10:30:58 PM
If there's one thing Erick Erickson at RINO State is good at it's breaking down polls.  He makes some good points about the current state of polling:

http://www.redstate.com/2014/10/22/the-end/

Let's hope he is on target.

IMO, polls are one thing, but don't underestimate the power the Democrats have with voter fraud.

If the AP poll showing women now favoring the GOP is right then the polls showing tight races are clearly wrong.

Quote from: taxed on October 22, 2014, 10:30:58 PM
In 2012, a number of polling companies, including Gallup and Rasmussen, got the results very wrong.

One other point to consider in their polling, is you can't canvas fraud, there is no way to account for it, especially when the communist entity enters the picture for the very first time, and that entity being ACORN.
The other point is, Hussein was running in a national election, so ACORN could focus on one entity in every state.

This is one of the reasons for the glaring disparities in the mid term elections over the National, ACORN was spread way to thin, too many individual elections, all with differing issues during mid terms.
And what was the outcome by comparison between these two elections in the past? The Marxists blatantly stole the national election.

But how will they equate in Nov?
They won't, because ACORN isn't established in that manner, they simply haven't the ability to effect that many elections, as opposed to when they could bring in dramatically more voters than existed in a given county for Hussein.

Point is, Gallup and Rasmussen weren't wrong, you can't adjust for blatant fraud, only historical fraud, and the fraud that took place iin support of Hussein had never been seen before.

With all that said, watch for a voter turnout come Nov equaling the highest we've seen in the history of the nation, and all because people are sick of seeing their country/culture destroyed by Communists.
It's for that reason 2010 was such a shock to both party's, and the very reason both party's are in a panic this mid term.
Their very existence hangs on the outcome.

With this understanding in mind, why sacrifice your vote in support of the Establishment when you can vote TEA.....

Quote from: suzziY on October 23, 2014, 04:51:09 AM
IMO, polls are one thing, but don't underestimate the power the Democrats have with voter fraud.

They can still get out the vote in many weird ways, and they still have all of the teeny-bopper, trendy social networking down to a science.  Their brand is bad now, but they will still suck every last vote out of the base until the very last minute of the election.  Combine that with the cheating and fraud, I just don't like to assume anything.

The NAACP just got caught red-handed with a memo to their constituents, telling them to flood the polling booths with unregistered people, to cause mayhem and slow / clog the vote.  Plus to have a fake claim of "disenfranchisement" when the unregistered (and illegals, criminals, imposters, fake ID's) are "denied" their vote.

They WILL be running this and 50 other scams throughout the election.  Assume it all away at our peril.  This is how a loser like Obama won in 2012. And Reid and Franken and Cochran.  You don't think they'll play all the same scams for the next 3 weeks  ?

Plus when they run a scan, they RUN a scam.  It's a huge group of welfare loafers and cheats and operatives / college punks who don't work....thus being able to play the game 24 hours a day for weeks on end.  The last 3-4 weeks of every election, to be exact.

Quote from: AndyJackson on October 23, 2014, 07:10:34 AM
They can still get out the vote in many weird ways, and they still have all of the teeny-bopper, trendy social networking down to a science.  Their brand is bad now, but they will still suck every last vote out of the base until the very last minute of the election.  Combine that with the cheating and fraud, I just don't like to assume anything.

The NAACP just got caught red-handed with a memo to their constituents, telling them to flood the polling booths with unregistered people, to cause mayhem and slow / clog the vote.  Plus to have a fake claim of "disenfranchisement" when the unregistered (and illegals, criminals, imposters, fake ID's) are "denied" their vote.

They WILL be running this and 50 other scams throughout the election.  Assume it all away at our peril.  This is how a loser like Obama won in 2012. And Reid and Franken and Cochran.  You don't think they'll play all the same scams for the next 3 weeks  ?

Plus when they run a scan, they RUN a scam.  It's a huge group of welfare loafers and cheats and operatives / college punks who don't work....thus being able to play the game 24 hours a day for weeks on end.  The last 3-4 weeks of every election, to be exact.

Quote from: AndyJackson on October 23, 2014, 07:10:34 AM
They can still get out the vote in many weird ways, and they still have all of the teeny-bopper, trendy social networking down to a science.  Their brand is bad now, but they will still suck every last vote out of the base until the very last minute of the election.  Combine that with the cheating and fraud, I just don't like to assume anything.

The NAACP just got caught red-handed with a memo to their constituents, telling them to flood the polling booths with unregistered people, to cause mayhem and slow / clog the vote.  Plus to have a fake claim of "disenfranchisement" when the unregistered (and illegals, criminals, imposters, fake ID's) are "denied" their vote.

They WILL be running this and 50 other scams throughout the election.  Assume it all away at our peril.  This is how a loser like Obama won in 2012. And Reid and Franken and Cochran.  You don't think they'll play all the same scams for the next 3 weeks  ?

Plus when they run a scan, they RUN a scam.  It's a huge group of welfare loafers and cheats and operatives / college punks who don't work....thus being able to play the game 24 hours a day for weeks on end.  The last 3-4 weeks of every election, to be exact.

Good.  They did the same thing in 2010:





Gee.  I'm scared.

You guys really need to be right, lol.  And NO "they lost because you jinxed it !!!".  That would be incorrigible.  Or a dirigible.

I remain with Yogi Berra "it ain't over till it's over."

Democrats are masterful at getting their vote out.

DaisyJane   

Quote from: DaisyJane on October 23, 2014, 10:35:19 AM
I remain with Yogi Berra "it ain't over till it's over."

Democrats are masterful at getting their vote out.

DaisyJane   

In Chicago they don't even have to get the vote out. People know how the missing voters would have voted so their vote also gets counted.

Quote from: DaisyJane on October 23, 2014, 10:35:19 AM
I remain with Yogi Berra "it ain't over till it's over."

Democrats are masterful at getting their vote out.

DaisyJane   

Exactly.  Most of the races are really really close.  I'm hoping to be pleasantly surprised, but not counting my chickens.  Been disappointed too many times.

Quote from: supsalemgr on October 23, 2014, 10:38:49 AM
In Chicago they don't even have to get the vote out. People know how the missing voters would have voted so their vote also gets counted.

Yeah. The old saw was "vote early and vote often," but it actually should be quoted "vote early, vote often, and vote Democrat."

Quote from: DaisyJane on October 23, 2014, 10:35:19 AM
I remain with Yogi Berra "it ain't over till it's over."

Democrats are masterful at getting their vote out.

DaisyJane   

If Yogi will be our guiding light......"when you come to a fork in the road, take it". 

Quote from: DaisyJane on October 23, 2014, 10:35:19 AM
I remain with Yogi Berra "it ain't over till it's over."

Democrats are masterful at getting their vote out.

DaisyJane   

Masterful?   This from Daisy and further back we had powerful from Suzzi.  They are neither, ladies just in power right now, as in duly or as I like to think-fraudently elected.  This will be ending soon for the dems as we have caught on to the real agenda.  You two ladies need to bolster confidence in the part of Rep that are truly conservative as in TEA.

I know that both of you have been asked to refrain from all the gloom, doom opinions that you have about our standing in the elections. 

Answer this if you can.  What deplorable action by the current administration caused either of you to switch party affiliations?  I don't think either of you believe in Rep views and see where both of you tend to place more value on the dem party than they warrant.  Puh-leeze!    Masterful?  Powerful?  Where does this come from?  I'm thinking "devious", "crooked" are the better adjectives when referring to any of these crooks.