I've seen polls that show Coons over O'Donnell around 54 to 37 and polls that show Castle over Coons at roughly the same numbers. That begs the question, if Mike Castle runs the how wil it affect the race. I think it's fairly obvious that at least a third of Coons current support would prefer Castle. These are most likely independents and liberal Republicans. But how much would he take from O'Donnell?

Without knowing the details it would week plausible that Castle might win or might even throw the race to O'Donnell by taking more votes from Coons.

I tend to agree, I don't think it will hurt O'Donnel in the least.
Those that voted for Castle in the past, did so only because the GOP had nothing better to offer, but now the Conservatives have someone they really want, while the libs that voted for Castle, would never have voted for Odonnel anyway.
So like you said, it will only siphon off lib voters, not Conservatives.

And since it's a write in candidacy on Castle's part, I believe the chances of success are very low for him. The real question is how many supporters will O'Donnell lose as opposed to Coons. Coons is way more dependent on registered independents so I believe he would take the bigger hit, but I suppose there is only one way to know for sure.

True Castle is not going to hurt O'Donnel in this which is what coons was hoping for Castle is a Republican in name only and the voters in deleware know it.  The biggest thing is the backlash against these elites who seem to belive they are destined to stay in power despite the voters we've seen it now three times this cycle the funny thing is all will lose in landslides and pull the dems down with them.  the American people are not stupid and the arrogance from the elites is starting to reek to the american voter.

I agree. Murkowski and Crist have ended their political careers with their selfish attempts to hold onto power at any cost. And liberal Republicans will never again be able to tell us to swallow our beliefs for the good of the party since they obviously aren't willing to return the favor.

Quote from: Dan on September 25, 2010, 11:01:31 AM
I agree. Murkowski and Crist have ended their political careers with their selfish attempts to hold onto power at any cost. And liberal Republicans will never again be able to tell us to swallow our beliefs for the good of the party since they obviously aren't willing to return the favor.

   I agree this is utterly selfish and dumb on their part...the people told them we dont want you and they obviously cant accept that...Crist is a fraud and his career being over is sweet.

     Im not so sure that castle wont hurt Odonnel some in del...shes in trouble as it stands without castle siphoning a single vote from her..

Yeah Zip. But my original point is saying I think Coons could lose up to a third of his support to Castle. That would put him right there with O'Donnell in the high 30s.

The Castle voters would be the only write-ins for Castle, and I don't think they would vote for O'Donnell anyway, so I don't think she "loses" those.  It really is with the independent/swing votes, and they should close in.  I remember Hoffman being pretty far behind in the NY-23rd, and Scott Brown was pretty far back until the end, as I recall.

Plus, I don't think even that many Castle supporters are too zealous for Castle, and many will come to their senses and not expend the energy.

Quote from: Dan on September 25, 2010, 11:45:37 AM
Yeah Zip. But my original point is saying I think Coons could lose up to a third of his support to Castle. That would put him right there with O'Donnell in the high 30s.

   That would be a godsend for us

It's her best chance of winning Attila point. How's that for irony for you? The Republican needs the disloyalty of a turncoat to have her best chance of winning.

Nobody knows how it will or would effect the Delaware race.  All I know is that I hate sore losers.  Castle will be a spoiler if he runs.  Hmmm, will the RINOs vote for O'Donnell?  Should they?  Do the conservatives want them to vote for O'Donnell or are they going to diss them throughout the rest of the campaign? 

Conservatives dissimg the rinos? Really? I promise you that the very moment they stop acting like hypocritical jackasses, then we will stop calling them hypocritical jackasses. This situation isn't what we want and it's certainly not of our choosing and I guarantee you that if the shoe was on the other foot then they would be saying far worse things about us.

How are the so-called RINOs acting like jackasses?  Is it just because you don't agree with them?  I'm a RINO, and I don't see myself as acting like a jackassette.  Of course, maybe I'm too close to the source.

It seems to me that the  republicans, both conservative and so-called RINOs, should be dissing the dems instead of each other.  But, as I've said before, the republicans have the gift of shooting themselves in the foot and blowing elections and giving them to the dems.  Then the conservatives sit back and say, "We told you we could do that."  I can only assume that they then smugly and proudly watch the nation go into the toilet.

Quote from: crepe05 on September 27, 2010, 03:33:32 AM
How are the so-called RINOs acting like jackasses?  Is it just because you don't agree with them?  I'm a RINO, and I don't see myself as acting like a jackassette.  Of course, maybe I'm too close to the source.

It seems to me that the  republicans, both conservative and so-called RINOs, should be dissing the dems instead of each other.  But, as I've said before, the republicans have the gift of shooting themselves in the foot and blowing elections and giving them to the dems.  Then the conservatives sit back and say, "We told you we could do that."  I can only assume that they then smugly and proudly watch the nation go into the toilet.

\
Crepe, I'm curious, what is your idea of a RINO and a Conservative?

Quote from: crepe05 on September 27, 2010, 03:33:32 AM
How are the so-called RINOs acting like jackasses?  Is it just because you don't agree with them?  I'm a RINO, and I don't see myself as acting like a jackassette.  Of course, maybe I'm too close to the source.

It seems to me that the  republicans, both conservative and so-called RINOs, should be dissing the dems instead of each other.  But, as I've said before, the republicans have the gift of shooting themselves in the foot and blowing elections and giving them to the dems.  Then the conservatives sit back and say, "We told you we could do that."  I can only assume that they then smugly and proudly watch the nation go into the toilet.

How are RINOs acting like jackasses? Let me count the ways.

They are attacking tea party candidates who legitimately won their primaries such as O'Donnell, Angle, Paladino, Miller, etc. Name one establishment Republican who won their primary that is being personally attacked by Tea Party folk.