Some things that might interest us...
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/images/downloads/29_thb.png

Solid States (electoral votes):

CLINTON (90 electoral votes)
California (55), District Of Columbia (3), Hawaii (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3)    

TRUMP (69 electoral votes)
Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arkansas (6), Idaho (4), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Nebraska (4), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), Tennessee (11), West Virginia (5), Wyoming (3)

States leaning Clinton (55)
Colorado (9), Connecticut (7), Maine (3), Minnesota (10), New Jersey (14), New Mexico (5), Oregon (7)

States leaning Trump (81)
Indiana (11), Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), South Carolina (9), Texas (38), Utah (6), Nebraska (4)

Tossup States (165)
Arizona (11), Florida (29), Georgia (16), Iowa (6), Michigan (16), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4), North Carolina (15), Ohio (18), Pennsylvania (20), Virginia (13), Wisconsin (10), Maine (3)

------------------

Prepare for a Clinton Presidency... it would appear to be her's to lose.

Mind if I borrow this?  I'd like to piss off a few Trumpaloonzees at a certain "other place".

From the tossup states I'd say that FL,MI,VA,OH,PA,NV,ME,NH will vote `Rat.

..hmm... given the stats, it looks to me like Trump is slightly ahead.

Combining Clinton electoral votes and those leaning Clinton = 145

Combing Trump electoral votes and those leaning Trump = 150

By my count there appears to be 4 states missing (NY being one of them).

I think it is far too early to tell and let's not forget about the write ins and 3rd party vote.  I'm still hopeful that both of them will be denied the majority.

Quote from: Ms.Independence on July 24, 2016, 07:56:38 AM
..hmm... given the stats, it looks to me like Trump is slightly ahead.

Combining Clinton electoral votes and those leaning Clinton = 145

Combing Trump electoral votes and those leaning Trump = 150

By my count there appears to be 4 states missing (NY being one of them).

I think it is far too early to tell and let's not forget about the write ins and 3rd party vote.  I'm still hopeful that both of them will be denied the majority.

Turning red states tossup and blue?  Ahead he ain't.....

Quote from: Ms.Independence on July 24, 2016, 07:56:38 AM
..hmm... given the stats, it looks to me like Trump is slightly ahead.

Combining Clinton electoral votes and those leaning Clinton = 145

Combing Trump electoral votes and those leaning Trump = 150

By my count there appears to be 4 states missing (NY being one of them).

I think it is far too early to tell and let's not forget about the write ins and 3rd party vote.  I'm still hopeful that both of them will be denied the majority.

If you go to the RCP link, NY is in the win column for Clinton. The rest are probably just a transcription error. RCP fives Clinton a sure 209 EC votes. The 61 she needs for election she can easily pick up from the tossup states.

Quote from: Hoofer on July 24, 2016, 06:39:24 AM
Some things that might interest us...
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/images/downloads/29_thb.png

Solid States (electoral votes):

CLINTON (90 electoral votes)
California (55), District Of Columbia (3), Hawaii (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3)    

TRUMP (69 electoral votes)
Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arkansas (6), Idaho (4), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Nebraska (4), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), Tennessee (11), West Virginia (5), Wyoming (3)

States leaning Clinton (55)
Colorado (9), Connecticut (7), Maine (3), Minnesota (10), New Jersey (14), New Mexico (5), Oregon (7)

States leaning Trump (81)
Indiana (11), Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), South Carolina (9), Texas (38), Utah (6), Nebraska (4)

Tossup States (165)
Arizona (11), Florida (29), Georgia (16), Iowa (6), Michigan (16), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4), North Carolina (15), Ohio (18), Pennsylvania (20), Virginia (13), Wisconsin (10), Maine (3)

------------------

Prepare for a Clinton Presidency... it would appear to be her's to lose.

Let's face it. We are going into an election like no other I can remember. I would not be surprised if Trump's support is understated by 3%-5%. I think this because there may be a large number of independents and democrats who will vote for Trump, but will not tell anybody. We cannot remove the elephant in the room that Hillary is just not trusted or liked.

Well 12M democrats did vote for Trump.

Quote from: tac on July 24, 2016, 09:26:44 AM
Well 12M democrats did vote for Trump.

Whoa.  That I did not realize.  If the majority of those DEMS voted for him in open primary states thinking he'd be easy for Hillary to beat, he's going to lose by a landslide!

Quote from: Ms.Independence on July 24, 2016, 06:50:13 PM
Whoa.  That I did not realize.  If the majority of those DEMS voted for him in open primary states thinking he'd be easy for Hillary to beat, he's going to lose by a landslide!

It's worse than you think.

http://conservativepoliticalforum.com/political-discussion-and-debate/how-did-trump-steal-the-vote/msg308373/#msg308373

The Trump Trolls discount that little item. 

Quote from: tac on July 25, 2016, 05:13:07 AM
The Trump Trolls discount that little item. 

Like ya said, ya can't fix stupid, and Trumpanzees are the quintessential moron.

I've yet to find anything that factors in Bernie Sander's former supporters - but I suspect the majority is going to Hillary, even with Donald's liberal leanings.

Latest poll I saw gave Trump a 6 point bump from the circus last week, 48-45 over Hillary.
Unless the DNC is a real bust, I wouldn't be surprised to see a 8-10 point reversal, 49-42, Hillary over Donald.

Why?   Where Trump had a week to lay out solid policy, it was squandered with hero worship.  (... why do you support Trump ....?  Because he's what?)   If the Democrats take this week to lay down solid policy (the kinds we Conservatives don't like), IMO it's over for Donald.  The time Donald wasted going after Cruz right after convention makes you wonder if he's trying to win!  (or prove his a bully) 

Going after Cruz and his father made no sense, and makes me wonder why Trump isn't pounding Clinton into the ground. Unless,of course, he is a GOP shill setup to ensure a Clinton win. Who know at this point.

Quote from: tac on July 25, 2016, 07:21:29 PM
Going after Cruz and his father made no sense, and makes me wonder why Trump isn't pounding Clinton into the ground. Unless,of course, he is a GOP shill setup to ensure a Clinton win. Who know at this point.

My vote is that Donny's a shill; I had little doubt when he went after Cruz right before the IA caucus.