(https://s.mmgo.io/t/BzFR)
I'm sorry fellas, AT THIS POINT, I still believe the democrats are going to steal the election.
ALTHOUGH, I was watching Maria Bartaromo today and I listen how much dirt they have on the dems for russia-gate, and how WITH PROOF it went all the way to Oblunder himself. I'M FURIOUS!!! Obama, Comey, and Brennan, as well as others, knew in 2016 that it was Hillary initiated and said nothing. Fucking criminal, and Ratcliffe is not done, supposedly it's just a tip of the iceberg of documents. Now, could the right be stalling to give the dems time to reel in their cheating machine or else the proof comes out?
Quote from: Frenchconnection on October 04, 2020, 04:56:06 PM
I'm sorry fellas, AT THIS POINT, I still believe the democrats are going to steal the election.
ALTHOUGH, I was watching Maria Bartaromo today and I listen how much dirt they have on the dems for russia-gate, and how WITH PROOF it went all the way to Oblunder himself. I'M FURIOUS!!! Obama, Comey, and Brennan, as well as others, knew in 2016 that it was Hillary initiated and said nothing. Fucking criminal, and Ratcliffe is not done, supposedly it's just a tip of the iceberg of documents. Now, could the right be stalling to give the dems time to reel in their cheating machine or else the proof comes out?
The devil believes and trembles...........I believe Trump is going to take this election hands down. Don't listen to these liberal lying ass fools.
Poll That DOESN'T Weight In Favor Of Dems Shows Trump Leading Nationallyhttps://thenationalpulse.com/breaking/poll-that-doesnt-weight-in-favor-of-dems-shows-trump-leading-nationally/
https://twitter.com/jacobkschneider/status/1312472258321936384
Quote from: Frenchconnection on October 04, 2020, 04:56:06 PM
I'm sorry fellas, AT THIS POINT, I still believe the democrats are going to steal the election.
ALTHOUGH, I was watching Maria Bartaromo today and I listen how much dirt they have on the dems for russia-gate, and how WITH PROOF it went all the way to Oblunder himself. I'M FURIOUS!!! Obama, Comey, and Brennan, as well as others, knew in 2016 that it was Hillary initiated and said nothing. Fucking criminal, and Ratcliffe is not done, supposedly it's just a tip of the iceberg of documents. Now, could the right be stalling to give the dems time to reel in their cheating machine or else the proof comes out?
https://twitter.com/henryrodgersdc/status/1312449910139019266
Quote from: Bronx on October 04, 2020, 05:38:02 PM
https://twitter.com/henryrodgersdc/status/1312449910139019266
Everyday more and more people are coming out for Trump. :thumbsup:
Quote from: walkstall on October 04, 2020, 08:37:19 PM
Everyday more and more people are coming out for Trump. :thumbsup:
Trump got in his limo and went out to meet the crowd! He's doing fine! :lol: :lol:
Go Trump go. MAGA 2020 :thumbup:
https://twitter.com/GiancarloSopo/status/1313107803117101061
https://twitter.com/ChristinaKTLA/status/1313494454599397386
I can't wait to vote for Trump!!!
Simple and short explanation by Peter Navarro. Great man, smart man and four more years for him at the WH.
https://youtu.be/K9mC8xC_j9w
I've seen, over the last few weeks, numerous stories about Trump cancelling ads in toss-up States and them running low on cash.
I didn't pay it any mind at first, but they have persisted.
Is the Trump team struggling to raise money?
https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1313674919310438401?s=20
The president's reelection campaign canceled $2.5 million in ads in Ohio and $820,000 in ads in Iowa, according to ad-tracking firm CMAG, CNN reported Monday.
This week will be the third week in a row without Trump TV ads in the two Midwestern states as polls show a deadlocked race between Trump and Biden.
A Sunday CBS-YouGov poll determined the candidates were tied in Ohio at 47 percent each, and a New York Times-Siena College poll late last month showed Biden at 45 percent and Trump at 42 percent in Iowa.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 07, 2020, 07:55:02 AM
I've seen, over the last few weeks, numerous stories about Trump cancelling ads in toss-up States and them running low on cash.
I didn't pay it any mind at first, but they have persisted.
Is the Trump team struggling to raise money?
https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1313674919310438401?s=20
The president's reelection campaign canceled $2.5 million in ads in Ohio and $820,000 in ads in Iowa, according to ad-tracking firm CMAG, CNN reported Monday.
This week will be the third week in a row without Trump TV ads in the two Midwestern states as polls show a deadlocked race between Trump and Biden.
A Sunday CBS-YouGov poll determined the candidates were tied in Ohio at 47 percent each, and a New York Times-Siena College poll late last month showed Biden at 45 percent and Trump at 42 percent in Iowa.
Because you're running off the false premise based on phony polls. Trump has both of these sewed up.
Quote from: Solar on October 07, 2020, 08:11:09 AM
Because you're running off the false premise based on phony polls. Trump has both of these sewed up.
Trump is a business man and know how to spend his money that will do the most good. He owes the people that gave him money to use it the best way. Unlike the Lib's.
Quote from: Solar on October 07, 2020, 08:11:09 AM
Because you're running off the false premise based on phony polls. Trump has both of these sewed up.
Or maybe the campaign is low on cash?
Or maybe their internal polls are showing that it's a lost cause in those States?
Or maybe you're right, and they're winning. We'll all know in a month or so
Quote from: joesixpack on October 07, 2020, 08:41:24 AM
Or maybe the campaign is low on cash?
Or maybe their internal polls are showing that it's a lost cause in those States?
Or maybe you're right, and they're winning. We'll all know in a month or so
Trump already won and the DNC committed suicide by backing Marxists Hell bent on destroying America. This is not a winning issue in the heart of America.
He is not only flush with cash, he said he'd even pay out of pocket. But that's aside the point.
Trump locked up Iowa and Midwestern States.
Trump abolished NAFTA, withdrew from the Paris Agreement on climate change, pulled out of the Iran nuclear deal, Brought CCP to its knees, snubbed military leaders and announced troop withdrawals from NATO allies ETC ETC ETC..... These are winning issues with Americans.
https://www.wbur.org/hereandnow/2019/10/22/iowa-republicans-trump-2020-election
https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/politics/who-win-iowa-2020-election-trump-favored-biden-longshot-polls/
I agree. Trump is way to far down in the polls to rise above them and win at this point. The media has done their job.
Quote from: karen on October 07, 2020, 09:26:31 AM
I agree. Trump is way to far down in the polls to rise above them and win at this point. The media has done their job.
To this point...I recently saw somewhere that even if the polls were off by the same amount as 2016, Biden would still win the Electoral College votes.
edit:
I found it...
https://twitter.com/NathanTankus/status/1311636205222670336?s=20
Quote from: karen on October 07, 2020, 09:26:31 AM
I agree. Trump is way to far down in the polls to rise above them and win at this point. The media has done their job.
So you believe lying leftist polls over reality?
Quote from: karen on October 07, 2020, 09:26:31 AM
I agree. Trump is way to far down in the polls to rise above them and win at this point. The media has done their job.
Name a state.
Quote from: taxed on October 07, 2020, 12:24:53 PM
Name a state.
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1313907135332388876?s=19
These gaps are all pretty large.
LOL They said that about Hillary also. And she is crying even today. :lol:
Quote from: joesixpack on October 07, 2020, 01:26:50 PM
These gaps are all pretty large.
Trump is ahead in every single one of those states. You're really bad at this.
Also, Silver isn't a pollster, and in fact is one of the worst out there (hence why you like him):
https://twitter.com/Barnes_Law/status/1313519676295503874
https://twitter.com/Barnes_Law/status/1313518908725358593
Quote from: joesixpack on October 07, 2020, 01:26:50 PM
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1313907135332388876?s=19
These gaps are all pretty large.
Nate... :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Nate the moron is reading bad tea leaves, or rather rabbit turds in water put out by the left disguised as polls.
GI,GO!!!
Quote from: Solar on October 07, 2020, 02:48:04 PM
Nate... :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Nate the moron is reading bad tea leaves, or rather rabbit turds in water put out by the left disguised as polls.
GI,GO!!!
The more he's wrong, the more idiots like Joe love him. It's the weirdest thing.
Quote from: taxed on October 07, 2020, 02:52:58 PM
The more he's wrong, the more idiots like Joe love him. It's the weirdest thing.
Yep, it's their religion, they have faith in fraud.
We have some fortune tellers here, who already know that Trump will lose lol. Go back to your leftist forums and be smart there lol.
https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=10158450997901049&set=a.10151560754416049&__cft__[0]
https://twitter.com/Barnes_Law/status/1313991584510214144
Quote from: walkstall on October 07, 2020, 01:31:57 PM
LOL They said that about Hillary also. And she is crying even today. :lol:
:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
https://twitter.com/numberonepal/status/1313916596419731456
:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
https://twitter.com/frodri_023/status/1313686567303643136
What's most important with these sweet polls are the ares of the shops...
https://minnesota.cbslocal.com/2020/09/03/ive-never-seen-it-like-this-trump-well-ahead-of-biden-in-red-wing-bakerys-presidential-cookie-poll/
Quote'I've Never Seen It Like This': Trump Well Ahead Of Biden In Red Wing Bakery's Presidential Cookie Poll
:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Quote from: joesixpack on October 07, 2020, 10:02:17 AM
To this point...I recently saw somewhere that even if the polls were off by the same amount as 2016, Biden would still win the Electoral College votes.
edit:
I found it...
https://twitter.com/NathanTankus/status/1311636205222670336?s=20
https://videos.whatfinger.com/2020/10/08/earth-to-polling-groups-cut-the-crap-we-see-through-you-all-biden-is-not-liked-cut-it-already-your-making-fools-of-yourselves-quinnipiac-has-biden-up-11-in-florida-yeah-right-see-below/
Quote from: taxed on October 07, 2020, 10:52:43 PM
:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
https://twitter.com/numberonepal/status/1313916596419731456
:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
The real polls they can't hide, disgust with the Marxist party.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 07, 2020, 10:02:17 AM
To this point...I recently saw somewhere that even if the polls were off by the same amount as 2016, Biden would still win the Electoral College votes.
edit:
I found it...
https://twitter.com/NathanTankus/status/1311636205222670336?s=20
3 weeks is a long time but not really. It'll have to be quite a turnaround.
https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher/status/1317530640775073796?s=20
The good thing for Trump is that he's very close in those swing states
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 03:42:16 PM
3 weeks is a long time but not really. It'll have to be quite a turnaround.
https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher/status/1317530640775073796?s=20
The good thing for Trump is that he's very close in those swing states
No, you stupid moron. The Democrats are significantly short in early voting, when they need to be way ahead. Example, you have MI in that list.... Trump Trump currently LEADS in early voting in MI.
The same outfits who were horribly wrong in 2016 have doubled down on that for 2020.
Quote from: taxed on October 17, 2020, 03:59:02 PM
No, you stupid moron. The Democrats are significantly short in early voting, when they need to be way ahead. Example, you have MI in that list.... Trump Trump currently LEADS in early voting in MI.
The same outfits who were horribly wrong in 2016 have doubled down on that for 2020.
We'll see in a few weeks.
I posted those because they take into account how wrong they were in 2016.
They'd have to be even more wrong this year so something has to change in the next few weeks.
I think if Trump loses Ohio, PA, or Michigan he loses the election
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 04:05:00 PM
We'll see in a few weeks.
We see it right now you fucking moron.
Quote
I posted those because they take into account how wrong they were in 2016.
No they don't! They are COMPLETELY ignoring the GOP registrations which usually favor Dems. It's the main indicator why all these polls are failing worse than they did in 2016.
QuoteThey'd have to be even more wrong this year so something has to change in the next few weeks.
They are more wrong. That's a fact if you had any clue about this.
QuoteI think if Trump loses Ohio, PA, or Michigan he loses the election
He's leading in MI early voting you moron. Ohio? This is an example of how stupid you are: OH is his strongest date in the rust belt. PA? Trump is leading by ALL metrics in PA, and Biden is campaigning there. He even has Hussein coming to campaign in PA.
Joe, if you were sort of bad at this, I'd encourage you to keep going, but the shit your posting is more proof that you struggle to find a topic that you can discuss intelligently.
Quote from: taxed on October 17, 2020, 04:17:38 PM
We see it right now you fucking moron.
No they don't! They are COMPLETELY ignoring the GOP registrations which usually favor Dems. It's the main indicator why all these polls are failing worse than they did in 2016.
They are more wrong. That's a fact if you had any clue about this.
He's leading in MI early voting you moron. Ohio? This is an example of how stupid you are: OH is his strongest date in the rust belt. PA? Trump is leading by ALL metrics in PA, and Biden is campaigning there. He even has Hussein coming to campaign in PA.
Joe, if you were sort of bad at this, I'd encourage you to keep going, but the shit your posting is more proof that you struggle to find a topic that you can discuss intelligently.
This is prediction radio, son.
It's like watching ESPN and everyone gives their guesses on who's gonna win.
You're predicting Trump.
I'm calling it a toss-up. But on-paper, Biden looks like he should win.
:lol: @ you being so sad at the numbers that you lash out and call me names.
You can add Florida to the list of States that Trump cannot lose and still win the Election.
So, I have it as:
Ohio, Michigan, Penn., and Florida.
If Biden gets any of those I think he wins the election
edit: actually, the way I see it, GA also has to go his way or Trump is toast.
(https://www.270towin.com/maps/nGnGk.png)
You can create your own prediction map at www.270towin.com
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 04:34:03 PM
This is prediction radio, son.
It's like watching ESPN and everyone gives their guesses on who's gonna win.
You're predicting Trump.
I'm calling it a toss-up. But on-paper, Biden looks like he should win.
:lol: @ you being so sad at the numbers that you lash out and call me names.
I'm predicting Trump because the data and indicators which predict every president every election are on Trump's side. You're still listening to NYT and Nate Silver.
You're posting states that are not going well for Biden, with polls that show he'll win bigger margins than Hussein.
THAT'S what makes you stupid. I wasn't being insulting, I was being factual.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 04:35:35 PM
You can add Florida to the list of States that Trump cannot lose and still win the Election.
So, I have it as:
Ohio, Michigan, Penn., and Florida.
If Biden gets any of those I think he wins the election
edit: actually, the way I see it, GA also has to go his way or Trump is toast.
You can create your own prediction map at www.270towin.com
You really are stupid.
Quote from: taxed on October 17, 2020, 04:36:38 PM
I'm predicting Trump because the data and indicators which predict every president every election are on Trump's side. You're still listening to NYT and Nate Silver.
You're posting states that are not going well for Biden, with polls that show he'll win bigger margins than Hussein.
THAT'S what makes you stupid. I wasn't being insulting, I was being factual.
Nothing you post is fact. It's a guess. You want to think it's a fact because it hurts your ego that Trump is down in the polls and looks like he's losing.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 04:46:08 PM
Nothing you post is fact. It's a guess. You want to think it's a fact because it hurts your ego that Trump is down in the polls and looks like he's losing.
Are GOP registrations outpacing Dem registrations?
https://twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit/status/1317604147949129730
https://twitter.com/themarketswork/status/1317602986219036672
Quote from: taxed on October 17, 2020, 04:51:09 PM
Are GOP registrations outpacing Dem registrations?
If you're asking I'm guessing it's so.
Still doesn't guarantee a victory for Trump. That's just a guess.
Just like Biden being up in the polls don't guarantee a victory for him.
We're all just guessing here but you've been an emotional wreck. :laugh:
If you're confident in your candidate's chances, you should really be less grumpy.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 05:02:52 PM
If you're asking I'm guessing it's so.
Still doesn't guarantee a victory for Trump. That's just a guess.
Just like Biden being up in the polls don't guarantee a victory for him.
We're all just guessing here but you've been an emotional wreck. :laugh:
If you're confident in your candidate's chances, you should really be less grumpy.
And why are you on this website Joe the lying troll? You're the one that always has your panties in a twist.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 05:02:52 PM
If you're asking I'm guessing it's so.
Why are you discussion polling and not know this?
Quote from: taxed on October 17, 2020, 05:09:08 PM
Why are you discussion polling and not know this?
Polling has only been our way for discussing politics in America for a few decades.
But if you want to talk about registrations, let's discuss it.
In FL (I already know GOP outpaced Dems here because it's my State), GA, NC, PA, OH, and MI...
Who has won the new registrations race and who has the most registered voters overall?
What share of all voters are Independents?
I bet the only thing that we'll learn is that those States are toss-ups that will be decided by turnout and Independents
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 05:16:08 PM
Polling has only been our way for discussing politics in America for a few decades.
But if you want to talk about registrations, let's discuss it.
In FL (I already know GOP outpaced Dems here because it's my State), GA, NC, PA, OH, and MI...
Who has won the new registrations race and who has the most registered voters overall?
What share of all voters are Independents?
I bet the only thing that we'll learn is that those States are toss-ups that will be decided by turnout and Independents
Polls are a joke and you know it Joe the lying troll. Just ask your hero Hitlary about the polls. You prove your stupidity with every post. You're nothing but a lying troll.
Quote from: Killer Clouds on October 17, 2020, 05:27:52 PM
Polls are a joke and you know it Joe the lying troll. Just ask your hero Hitlary about the polls. You prove your stupidity with every post. You're nothing but a lying troll.
Try to keep up, bud.
We're talking about registrations now. If you've got the answers to the questions you quoted please provide them.
If not, have a good evening.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 05:29:22 PM
Try to keep up, bud.
We're talking about registrations now. If you've got the answers to the questions you quoted please provide them.
If not, have a good evening.
Why don't you answer my question first Joe the lying troll? You won't because you know you're full of shit just like your bull shit polls. Keep it up Joe the lying troll. Everyone already knows what a fucking idiot you are. You prove it every time you post.
Quote from: Skull on October 17, 2020, 05:41:45 PM
Here is my 270 Map:
https://www.270towin.com
Can't see it.
You have to click on the "Share Map" button on the right side of the map then give us the link provided
fixed it for ya:
https://www.270towin.com/maps/oGmk8
Thanks to joe6
https://www.270towin.com/maps/oGmk8
Quote from: Skull on October 17, 2020, 05:45:44 PM
I give up - too much Luddite tendencies to figure it out. Anyway I have Trump with 310 Electoral votes.
Why do you think Trump will win Oregon? I thought the west coast was solid blue
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 05:47:13 PM
Why do you think Trump will win Oregon? I thought the west coast was solid blue
Nothing based on polling, just have relatives in So. OR, plus the Gov. is dispised.
Would not be surprised if one or two of WI, MN or MI turned Red.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 05:47:13 PM
Why do you think Trump will win Oregon? I thought the west coast was solid blue
Are you serious? Portland is not the entire state, just like Seattle isn't all of Washington, as the Bay area does not represent all of Ca.
http://conservativepoliticalforum.com/political-discussion-and-debate/what-happens-when-business-supports-blm/
Quote from: Solar on October 17, 2020, 05:50:43 PM
Are you serious? Portland is not the entire state, just like Seattle isn't all of Washington, as the Bay area does not represent all of Ca.
http://conservativepoliticalforum.com/political-discussion-and-debate/what-happens-when-business-supports-blm/
Those 3 States have been blue since 1992.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 05:54:13 PM
Those 3 States have been blue since 1992.
And before that, they were peaceful Conservative thresholds. Your point? Just because libs fuck up big cities is no reason to think people want it to continue.
There is an entire state just waiting to vote these Marxists out! Ca is in play, just watch....
Quote from: Solar on October 17, 2020, 05:56:36 PM
And before that, they were peaceful Conservative thresholds. Your point? Just because libs fuck up big cities is no reason to think people want it to continue.
There is an entire state just waiting to vote these Marxists out! Ca is in play, just watch....
Eh. That goes both ways.
Dems are excited about their chances of flipping GA, TX, FL, NC, IA, PA, OH, MI, etc.
We'll see how it goes in November. It's all guesswork
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 06:02:12 PM
Eh. That goes both ways.
Dems are excited about their chances of flipping GA, TX, FL, NC, IA, PA, OH, MI, etc.
We'll see how it goes in November. It's all guesswork
Dream on! The DNC knows what's coming, which is why they're pushing the illusion that Biden is winning, that way when he gets slaughtered, they will claim it was a rigged election.
News for you Joe, it was not, all Trump is doing is stopping illegal voting, but the left claims it's interfering and when the court stops counting after the election, the left will hold it up as a rigged election.
Joe, we're onto you guys and no amount of bull shit will change the outcome of this election, the DNC is dead as Hell for supporting racist riots and looting, Wake the Fuck Up!
This is not the America, Americans want, including former Dims who just dumped the DNC for Trump!
Quote from: Solar on October 17, 2020, 06:09:13 PM
Dream on! The DNC knows what's coming, which is why they're pushing the illusion that Biden is winning, that way when he gets slaughtered, they will claim it was a rigged election.
News for you Joe, it was not, all Trump is doing is stopping illegal voting, but the left claims it's interfering and when the court stops counting after the election, the left will hold it up as a rigged election.
Joe, we're onto you guys and no amount of bull shit will change the outcome of this election, the DNC is dead as Hell for supporting racist riots and looting, Wake the Fuck Up!
This is not the America, Americans want, including former Dims who just dumped the DNC for Trump!
Sounds like you have faith in the results of the election.
I do too. Whoever wins, wins.
I hope you don't switch your tune if all of the polls are right and Trump loses.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 06:11:24 PM
Sounds like you have faith in the results of the election.
I do too. Whoever wins, wins.
I hope you don't switch your tune if all of the polls are right and Trump loses.
The only way that could happen is Dim Fraud and you know it!.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 06:11:24 PM
Sounds like you have faith in the results of the election.
I do too. Whoever wins, wins.
I hope you don't switch your tune if all of the polls are right and Trump loses.
Joe, next time you post bullshit you're in time-out. We're trying to post legit data and your muddying it up. You are too clueless to know what you're talking about.
Quote from: taxed on October 17, 2020, 06:55:43 PM
Joe, next time you post bullshit you're in time-out. We're trying to post legit data and your muddying it up. You are too clueless to know what you're talking about.
I hope his handlers are reading this. There goes his bonus! :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Quote from: taxed on October 17, 2020, 06:55:43 PM
Joe, next time you post bullshit you're in time-out. We're trying to post legit data and your muddying it up. You are too clueless to know what you're talking about.
Solar always says he doesn't want an echo chamber forum.
I'm one of the few people that have different point of view on most things than you. Yet whenever I post anything that doesn't go with your narrative you get your panties in a bunch and ban me. #cancelculture is alive and well.
I know Solar has said on more than 1 occasion that he wants you and the others to practice debunking my supposed "bullshit" and make me look bad. So how bout you do that.
Your candidate, according to all polling, is losing.
You predict that he's going to win. I predict that he's going to lose. Stop whining and bitching and converse about our predictions. Come 11/4 we'll see who was right.
Or ban me because seeing some one say that Trump is losing hurts your feelings. It'd be a shame that you're so fragile. A snowflake even.. :laugh:
I asked you to talk about the Registration numbers and you haven't said a word about it since...wierd.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 07:06:07 PM
Solar always says he doesn't want an echo chamber forum.
I'm one of the few people that have different point of view on most things than you. Yet whenever I post anything that doesn't go with your narrative you get your panties in a bunch and ban me. #cancelculture is alive and well.
I know Solar has said on more than 1 occasion that he wants you and the others to practice debunking my supposed "bullshit" and make me look bad. So how bout you do that.
Your candidate, according to all polling, is losing.
You predict that he's going to win. I predict that he's going to lose. Stop whining and bitching and converse about our predictions. Come 11/4 we'll see who was right.
Or ban me because seeing some one say that Trump is losing hurts your feelings. It'd be a shame that you're so fragile. A snowflake even.. :laugh:
I asked you to talk about the Registration numbers and you haven't said a word about it since...wierd.
There is no need to debunk anything you post. It's all bulk shit Joe the lying troll. Why are you on a conservative website asshole?
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 07:06:07 PM
Solar always says he doesn't want an echo chamber forum.
That's correct, and we don't have one. We're all in sync on the constitutional basics, but we have vast opinions on many things. For example, how many people on the forum agree with me that Rosenstein and Wray are good guys? Of those who disagree, who's been banned?
QuoteI'm one of the few people that have different point of view on most things than you. Yet whenever I post anything that doesn't go with your narrative you get your panties in a bunch and ban me. #cancelculture is alive and well.
Incorrect. You don't have a "point of view". You are not informed on the topics you post to have a point of view, and simply parrot what other say -- most of whom don't know any better. You even admitted you didn't know about the registration phenomenon that's happening right now. It's reasons like that why you should just shut up unless you have something somewhat intelligent to bring to a conversation.
QuoteI know Solar has said on more than 1 occasion that he wants you and the others to practice debunking my supposed "bullshit" and make me look bad. So how bout you do that.
That's what we like, but you're crapping on a thread with real data happening in the election. If you want to inform yourself on a topic and try to defend it, that's fine, but you're more of an annoyance on, say, this election thread. You failed miserably in that jobs thread a few months back, so I'm going to reign you in on certain threads.
QuoteYour candidate, according to all polling, is losing.
That's correct, just like in 2016, and they're sticking to the EXACT same script. Again, you're too stupid to understand that, hence why you don't need to post on this. Feel free to make a thread in the Pit for that.
QuoteYou predict that he's going to win. I predict that he's going to lose. Stop whining and bitching and converse about our predictions. Come 11/4 we'll see who was right.
It's not about that. You aren't predicting anything. You don't know enough on the topic to predict anything.
QuoteOr ban me because seeing some one say that Trump is losing hurts your feelings. It'd be a shame that you're so fragile. A snowflake even.. :laugh:
It doesn't hurt anyone's feelings because it's so ridiculous.
QuoteI asked you to talk about the Registration numbers and you haven't said a word about it since...wierd.
It's not weird. You're just annoying and not bringing anything to the table.
Quote from: Skull on October 17, 2020, 05:45:44 PM
Thanks to joe6
https://www.270towin.com/maps/oGmk8
:lol: Now you know this will piss off young joe6, right! :lol:
Quote from: joesixpack on October 17, 2020, 04:46:08 PM
Nothing you post is fact. It's a guess. You want to think it's a fact because it hurts your ego that Trump is down in the polls and looks like he's losing.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/10/24/donald-trumps-chances-of-winning-are-approaching-zero/
https://www.bizjournals.com/chicago/inno/stories/news/2016/10/10/donald-trump-has-a-0-chance-of-winning-the.html
https://www.cnn.com/2015/07/09/politics/donald-trump-data-pivit-2016-election/index.html
Want to guess why quoting the polls does not impress anyone?
You have to ask how could everyone be this wrong? Same way with the lsm media, they are not there for the news, they are there to shape public opinion. Does anyone believe Biden has a 15 point lead?? https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/15/politics/quinnipiac-poll-biden-leading-trump-economy/index.html Yet here it is in a poll. You have to go back to Reagan to see those results and Biden can not draw anywhere near like Reagan.
Want to form your own opinion, look for enthusiasm for the two sides. Trump draws in the thousands EVERYWHERE he goes. Biden does not draw. Period.
Quote from: Possum on October 18, 2020, 04:18:32 AM
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/10/24/donald-trumps-chances-of-winning-are-approaching-zero/
https://www.bizjournals.com/chicago/inno/stories/news/2016/10/10/donald-trump-has-a-0-chance-of-winning-the.html
https://www.cnn.com/2015/07/09/politics/donald-trump-data-pivit-2016-election/index.html
Want to guess why quoting the polls does not impress anyone?
You have to ask how could everyone be this wrong? Same way with the lsm media, they are not there for the news, they are there to shape public opinion. Does anyone believe Biden has a 15 point lead?? https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/15/politics/quinnipiac-poll-biden-leading-trump-economy/index.html Yet here it is in a poll. You have to go back to Reagan to see those results and Biden can not draw anywhere near like Reagan.
Want to form your own opinion, look for enthusiasm for the two sides. Trump draws in the thousands EVERYWHERE he goes. Biden does not draw. Period.
I don't care for polls, really.
If you look at my history I never post them.
The only thing that I've posted is that IF polls were as wrong this year, as they were in 2016, Biden still wins.
No more, no less. Yet panties are all bunched up because of it.
No worries, though. We'll keep having this discussion until election day.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 18, 2020, 05:08:54 AM
I don't care for polls, really.
If you look at my history I never post them.
The only thing that I've posted is that IF polls were as wrong this year, as they were in 2016, Biden still wins.
No more, no less. Yet panties are all bunched up because of it.
No worries, though. We'll keep having this discussion until election day.
That's what I'm talking about! :lol: :lol: :lol: You are referring to polls, which you know are a farce, to predict biden will win. Here is a novel thought, what is the polls are MORE of a farce now than they were then? :lol: If you want to discuss why you think biden will win, great, but damn Joe, don't refer to polls to try to prove your point. Talk about how
Joe handles the tough questions, talk about the enthusiasm you see in Joe's rallies, talk about Joe's plans for the future of our courts, talk about how increasing taxes will bring more jobs,,,,,,,,, never mind, go back to your polls.
Quote from: Possum on October 18, 2020, 05:34:15 AM
That's what I'm talking about! :lol: :lol: :lol: You are referring to polls, which you know are a farce, to predict biden will win. Here is a novel thought, what is the polls are MORE of a farce now than they were then? :lol: If you want to discuss why you think biden will win, great, but damn Joe, don't refer to polls to try to prove your point. Talk about how Joe handles the tough questions, talk about the enthusiasm you see in Joe's rallies, talk about Joe's plans for the future of our courts, talk about how increasing taxes will bring more jobs,,,,,,,,, never mind, go back to your polls.
The polling in 2016 wasn't all that wrong. Hillary won the Popular Vote and the results were within the margin of error. (https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/polls-werent-far-2016-they-arent-wrong-now-either)
She just lost the strategy battle. That's why I look at State polls, National polls mean absolutely nothing.
That said, even if the State polls were as wrong this year as they were in 2016, Biden would still win. Trump has to narrow that gap. In 2016 his campaign had momentum with the emails scandal.
What's going to push him over the top this year?
sn: We can have a one on one discussion about Joe if you'd like. PM and we'll get deep into it without interference
Quote from: joesixpack on October 18, 2020, 05:08:54 AM
I don't care for polls, really.
If you look at my history I never post them.
OMG!!! There for awhile that's all you went on about, freakin polls, stats, numbers, all proven wrong, and now suddenly you claim you really don't like polls while posting bogus poll numbers/stats?
Man, you are one incorrigible kid! Do you still stick your tongue on frozen poles in the winter?
Quote from: joesixpack on October 18, 2020, 05:46:01 AM
The polling in 2016 wasn't all that wrong. Hillary won the Popular Vote and the results were within the margin of error. (https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/polls-werent-far-2016-they-arent-wrong-now-either)
She just lost the strategy battle. That's why I look at State polls, National polls mean absolutely nothing.
That said, even if the State polls were as wrong this year as they were in 2016, Biden would still win. Trump has to narrow that gap. In 2016 his campaign had momentum with the emails scandal.
What's going to push him over the top this year?
sn: We can have a one on one discussion about Joe if you'd like. PM and we'll get deep into it without interference
That's the while point of a forum. If you think biden will win, what do you see as the main driving point he has to get the voters out? They sure are not going to his rallies. The only item I see that old joe has is orange man bad. To be honest, I don't think joe himself has any enthusiasm for the presidency, I think he is just running to keep hunter out of prison. His policies have changed so much whether it is fracking, healthcare, warming, taxes, courts, etc., i do not see him being passionate about any of them. He has yet to state a vision for the future, unless you consider looting or taking a lid a future. I have seen in three short years what Trump can do with the economy, I have seen him pulling back the troops, I have seen him go toe to toe on getting fair trade deals, I have seen him insist our allies pay their share for their own protection, etc, Joe has been in office 47 years, what is he holding up?
Quote from: joesixpack on October 18, 2020, 05:46:01 AM
The polling in 2016 wasn't all that wrong. Hillary won the Popular Vote and the results were within the margin of error. (https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/polls-werent-far-2016-they-arent-wrong-now-either)
She just lost the strategy battle. That's why I look at State polls, National polls mean absolutely nothing.
That said, even if the State polls were as wrong this year as they were in 2016, Biden would still win. Trump has to narrow that gap. In 2016 his campaign had momentum with the emails scandal.
What's going to push him over the top this year?
sn: We can have a one on one discussion about Joe if you'd like. PM and we'll get deep into it without interference
Once again you prove yourself to be the lying troll you are.
Quote from: Possum on October 18, 2020, 06:12:59 AM
That's the while point of a forum. If you think biden will win, what do you see as the main driving point he has to get the voters out? They sure are not going to his rallies. The only item I see that old joe has is orange man bad. To be honest, I don't think joe himself has any enthusiasm for the presidency, I think he is just running to keep hunter out of prison. His policies have changed so much whether it is fracking, healthcare, warming, taxes, courts, etc., i do not see him being passionate about any of them. He has yet to state a vision for the future, unless you consider looting or taking a lid a future. I have seen in three short years what Trump can do with the economy, I have seen him pulling back the troops, I have seen him go toe to toe on getting fair trade deals, I have seen him insist our allies pay their share for their own protection, etc, Joe has been in office 47 years, what is he holding up?
I think that when you get down to it, Joe's policies are better than Don's. But, the motivating factor for all of those people enthusiastically mailing their votes in and waiting in like for 10 hours on the first day or early voting is getting rid of Trump, imo.
He has just as many people that are passionately in his camp, as are passionately against him.
Look at this polling from 2016:
The Real Clear Politics average of national polls showed Trump down by 3.3 percentage points; the New York Times still projects Trump will lose the popular vote by 0.6 points. And most of the battleground states that decided the winner of the Electoral College were pretty close to the final RCP polling average (with one big exception).
Florida: The RCP polling average showed Trump leading by 0.2; he's projected to win by 1.4.
New Hampshire: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 0.6; he's projected to lose by 0.1.
North Carolina: The RCP polling average showed Trump up 1.0; he's projected to win by 3.8.
Nevada: The RCP polling average showed Trump up 0.8; he's projected to lose by 2.4.
Colorado: The RCP polling average showed Trump down 2.9; he's projected to lose by 3.9.
Pennsylvania: The RCP polling average showed Trump down 1.9; he's projected to win by 1.0.
Michigan: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 3.4; he's projected to win by 0.2.
Ohio: The RCP polling average showed Trump up by 3.5; he's projected to win by 8.5.
Wisconsin: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 6.5; he's projected to win by 0.9.
As you can see, Trump under-performed his polling averages in Nevada and Colorado, and he exceeded expectations the critical states he needed to win the Electoral College. Michigan is the perfect example. And the only huge polling miss in the presidential race was Wisconsin, where even the gold-standard Marquette poll finally got it wrong.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/tag/donald-trump?source=%2Fweekly-standard%2Fthe-presidential-polls-werent-that-far-offIt was pretty damn accurate. Well within the Margins of Error, save Wisconsin.
If the polls are off by the same amount this time. Trump would lose.
Quote from: Solar on October 18, 2020, 06:11:52 AM
OMG!!! There for awhile that's all you went on about, freakin polls, stats, numbers, all proven wrong, and now suddenly you claim you really don't like polls while posting bogus poll numbers/stats?
Man, you are one incorrigible kid! Do you still stick your tongue on frozen poles in the winter?
http://conservativepoliticalforum.com/profile/?area=showposts;u=8010
Here you go. Feel free to point it out.
I think you might be confusing me posting Early Voting numbers with polls.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 18, 2020, 06:36:48 AM
I think that when you get down to it, Joe's policies are better than Don's. But, the motivating factor for all of those people enthusiastically mailing their votes in and waiting in like for 10 hours on the first day or early voting is getting rid of Trump, imo.
He has just as many people that are passionately in his camp, as are passionately against him.
Look at this polling from 2016:
The Real Clear Politics average of national polls showed Trump down by 3.3 percentage points; the New York Times still projects Trump will lose the popular vote by 0.6 points. And most of the battleground states that decided the winner of the Electoral College were pretty close to the final RCP polling average (with one big exception).
Florida: The RCP polling average showed Trump leading by 0.2; he's projected to win by 1.4.
New Hampshire: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 0.6; he's projected to lose by 0.1.
North Carolina: The RCP polling average showed Trump up 1.0; he's projected to win by 3.8.
Nevada: The RCP polling average showed Trump up 0.8; he's projected to lose by 2.4.
Colorado: The RCP polling average showed Trump down 2.9; he's projected to lose by 3.9.
Pennsylvania: The RCP polling average showed Trump down 1.9; he's projected to win by 1.0.
Michigan: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 3.4; he's projected to win by 0.2.
Ohio: The RCP polling average showed Trump up by 3.5; he's projected to win by 8.5.
Wisconsin: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 6.5; he's projected to win by 0.9.
As you can see, Trump under-performed his polling averages in Nevada and Colorado, and he exceeded expectations the critical states he needed to win the Electoral College. Michigan is the perfect example. And the only huge polling miss in the presidential race was Wisconsin, where even the gold-standard Marquette poll finally got it wrong.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/tag/donald-trump?source=%2Fweekly-standard%2Fthe-presidential-polls-werent-that-far-off
It was pretty damn accurate. Well within the Margins of Error, save Wisconsin.
If the polls are off by the same amount this time. Trump would lose.
http://conservativepoliticalforum.com/profile/?area=showposts;u=8010
Here you go. Feel free to point it out.
I think you might be confusing me posting Early Voting numbers with polls.
What policies? You have to vote for Sleepy Joe so he can win. Then you will see his so called policies. :lol:
Quote from: joesixpack on October 18, 2020, 05:46:01 AM
The polling in 2016 wasn't all that wrong. Hillary won the Popular Vote and the results were within the margin of error. (https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/polls-werent-far-2016-they-arent-wrong-now-either)
She just lost the strategy battle. That's why I look at State polls, National polls mean absolutely nothing.
That said, even if the State polls were as wrong this year as they were in 2016, Biden would still win. Trump has to narrow that gap. In 2016 his campaign had momentum with the emails scandal.
What's going to push him over the top this year?
sn: We can have a one on one discussion about Joe if you'd like. PM and we'll get deep into it without interference
Wrong!!!
https://www.heritage.org/election-integrity/commentary/new-report-exposes-thousands-illegal-votes-2016-election
(https://thinkamericana.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Hillary-Did-Not-Win-the-Popular-Vote.jpg)
(https://thinkamericana.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Hillary-Did-Not-Win-the-Popular-Vote.jpg)
https://thinkamericana.com/hillary-not-win-popular-vote-another-lie-exposed/
Quote from: Solar on October 18, 2020, 06:54:38 AM
Wrong!!!
https://www.heritage.org/election-integrity/commentary/new-report-exposes-thousands-illegal-votes-2016-election
(https://thinkamericana.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Hillary-Did-Not-Win-the-Popular-Vote.jpg)
:lol:
http://www.g-a-i.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/Voter-Fraud-Final-with-Appendix-1.pdf
Have you read that report? It's even less accurate than polling. Basically, if there are two people named "John Smith' they'd call it fraud
:lol:
Anywho..here's the information from the FEC who actually has access to the data that your report said was unobtainable.
https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/federalelections2016.pdf
Hillary won the popular vote in 2016 and lost the electoral college by less than 100k voters across 3 States. Biden has to make up that gap to win this year. It looks like he has a good chance.
Quote from: Solar on October 18, 2020, 06:54:38 AM
Wrong!!!
https://www.heritage.org/election-integrity/commentary/new-report-exposes-thousands-illegal-votes-2016-election
(https://thinkamericana.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Hillary-Did-Not-Win-the-Popular-Vote.jpg)
(https://thinkamericana.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Hillary-Did-Not-Win-the-Popular-Vote.jpg)
https://thinkamericana.com/hillary-not-win-popular-vote-another-lie-exposed/
Worth the full Read!
Quote from: joesixpack on October 18, 2020, 07:04:49 AM
:lol:
http://www.g-a-i.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/Voter-Fraud-Final-with-Appendix-1.pdf
Have you read that report? It's even less accurate than polling. Basically, if there are two people named "John Smith' they'd call it fraud
:lol:
Anywho..here's the information from the FEC who actually has access to the data that your report said was unobtainable.
https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/federalelections2016.pdf
Hillary won the popular vote in 2016 and lost the electoral college by less than 100k voters across 3 States. Biden has to make up that gap to win this year. It looks like he has a good chance.
Joe, with all the proven fraud since, it's clear Hillary won absolutely nothing! Just like now, the left is trying to fraud the election with mail in ballots, and like then, the left will lose.
Are you denying the mail in ballot scheme is really above board? That counting ballots days after the polls close isn't fraud?https://www.heritage.org/election-integrity/commentary/new-report-exposes-thousands-illegal-votes-2016-election
https://www.dailysignal.com/2014/06/01/justice-department-blind-virginia-voter-fraud/
https://youtu.be/ptSrcNvJzBQ
https://youtu.be/q_iJfnbMzI0
https://youtu.be/tBa7SZ8FK-Q
So...you already stated your position yesterday.
If Trump wins, you trust the results.
If Trump loses, you'll say it was fraud.
I don't think there's any point in discussing your emotions on the subject.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 18, 2020, 07:29:20 AM
So...you already stated your position yesterday.
If Trump wins, you trust the results.
If Trump loses, you'll say it was fraud.
I don't think there's any point in discussing your emotions on the subject.
So you run away in the face of evidence? You and I both know Biden doesn't have a prayer of winning legitimately, yet here you are carrying his water in a sieve. :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Go away Joe, you're embarrassing yourself.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 18, 2020, 06:36:48 AM
I think that when you get down to it, Joe's policies are better than Don's. But, the motivating factor for all of those people enthusiastically mailing their votes in and waiting in like for 10 hours on the first day or early voting is getting rid of Trump, imo.
He has just as many people that are passionately in his camp, as are passionately against him.
Look at this polling from 2016:
The Real Clear Politics average of national polls showed Trump down by 3.3 percentage points; the New York Times still projects Trump will lose the popular vote by 0.6 points. And most of the battleground states that decided the winner of the Electoral College were pretty close to the final RCP polling average (with one big exception).
Florida: The RCP polling average showed Trump leading by 0.2; he's projected to win by 1.4.
New Hampshire: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 0.6; he's projected to lose by 0.1.
North Carolina: The RCP polling average showed Trump up 1.0; he's projected to win by 3.8.
Nevada: The RCP polling average showed Trump up 0.8; he's projected to lose by 2.4.
Colorado: The RCP polling average showed Trump down 2.9; he's projected to lose by 3.9.
Pennsylvania: The RCP polling average showed Trump down 1.9; he's projected to win by 1.0.
Michigan: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 3.4; he's projected to win by 0.2.
Ohio: The RCP polling average showed Trump up by 3.5; he's projected to win by 8.5.
Wisconsin: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 6.5; he's projected to win by 0.9.
As you can see, Trump under-performed his polling averages in Nevada and Colorado, and he exceeded expectations the critical states he needed to win the Electoral College. Michigan is the perfect example. And the only huge polling miss in the presidential race was Wisconsin, where even the gold-standard Marquette poll finally got it wrong.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/tag/donald-trump?source=%2Fweekly-standard%2Fthe-presidential-polls-werent-that-far-off
It was pretty damn accurate. Well within the Margins of Error, save Wisconsin.
If the polls are off by the same amount this time. Trump would lose.
http://conservativepoliticalforum.com/profile/?area=showposts;u=8010
Here you go. Feel free to point it out.
I think you might be confusing me posting Early Voting numbers with polls.
Then discuss them. Don't keep going back to poll numbers. It is hard to have a discussion about politics or whatever if your audience does not accept your sources, either abandon your source or convince your audience that it is correct.
Joe6pak, here's a question about #'s for you, 30% of the 1000's at the Trump rallies are democrats, how many of the 6 or 7 at the biden rallies do you think are republicans?
Quote from: Possum on October 18, 2020, 06:12:59 AM
That's the while point of a forum. If you think biden will win, what do you see as the main driving point he has to get the voters out? They sure are not going to his rallies. The only item I see that old joe has is orange man bad. To be honest, I don't think joe himself has any enthusiasm for the presidency, I think he is just running to keep hunter out of prison. His policies have changed so much whether it is fracking, healthcare, warming, taxes, courts, etc., i do not see him being passionate about any of them. He has yet to state a vision for the future, unless you consider looting or taking a lid a future. I have seen in three short years what Trump can do with the economy, I have seen him pulling back the troops, I have seen him go toe to toe on getting fair trade deals, I have seen him insist our allies pay their share for their own protection, etc, Joe has been in office 47 years, what is he holding up?
"I think that when you get down to it, Joe's policies are better than Don's."
If you know what his plans are, please share. All I have heard is, "I have a plan".
What is his economic plan?
What is his fracking plan?
What is his plan on packing the SC?
What is Covid plan?
Quote from: supsalemgr on October 18, 2020, 09:06:39 AM
"I think that when you get down to it, Joe's policies are better than Don's."
If you know what his plans are, please share. All I have heard is, "I have a plan".
What is his economic plan?
What is his fracking plan?
What is his plan on packing the SC?
What is Covid plan?
I trust that you're a voter that likes to research candidate's stances before you vote for them.
https://joebiden.com/joes-vision/#
Check out Joe's.
Also, I reacently heard to pretty good podcast episodes that touched on them both
Joe's:
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/16/podcasts/the-daily/joe-biden-policies-election.html
and Don's:
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/15/podcasts/the-daily/donald-trump-election.html
Like I said, I like Biden's more. You're free to decide which one you like and vote for the candidate.
Quote from: Possum on October 18, 2020, 08:59:06 AM
Joe6pak, here's a question about #'s for you, 30% of the 1000's at the Trump rallies are democrats, how many of the 6 or 7 at the biden rallies do you think are republicans?
Don't know. Additionally, we don't know for sure if those Trump rally #'s are accurate either. No one has ever seen them or verified them.
Quote from: Possum on October 18, 2020, 08:55:50 AM
Then discuss them. Don't keep going back to poll numbers. It is hard to have a discussion about politics or whatever if your audience does not accept your sources, either abandon your source or convince your audience that it is correct.
Why would I abandon a reputable source? Either refute the information directly or accept it as fact. If you choose to dismiss it then there's no point in conversing.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 18, 2020, 09:18:09 AM
I trust that you're a voter that likes to research candidate's stances before you vote for them.
https://joebiden.com/joes-vision/#
Check out Joe's.
Also, I reacently heard to pretty good podcast episodes that touched on them both
Joe's:
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/16/podcasts/the-daily/joe-biden-policies-election.html
and Don's:
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/15/podcasts/the-daily/donald-trump-election.html
Like I said, I like Biden's more. You're free to decide which one you like and vote for the candidate.
Don't know. Additionally, we don't know for sure if those Trump rally #'s are accurate either. No one has ever seen them or verified them.
Why would I abandon a reputable source? Either refute the information directly or accept it as fact. If you choose to dismiss it then there's no point in conversing.
NY Times is not a reputable source Joe the lying commie troll.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 18, 2020, 09:18:09 AM
I trust that you're a voter that likes to research candidate's stances before you vote for them.
https://joebiden.com/joes-vision/#
Check out Joe's.
Also, I reacently heard to pretty good podcast episodes that touched on them both
Joe's:
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/16/podcasts/the-daily/joe-biden-policies-election.html
and Don's:
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/15/podcasts/the-daily/donald-trump-election.html
Like I said, I like Biden's more. You're free to decide which one you like and vote for the candidate.
Don't know. Additionally, we don't know for sure if those Trump rally #'s are accurate either. No one has ever seen them or verified them.
Why would I abandon a reputable source? Either refute the information directly or accept it as fact. If you choose to dismiss it then there's no point in conversing.
How can you tell? Joes plans keep changing with the political winds.
Quote from: Solar on October 18, 2020, 09:44:32 AM
How can you tell? Joes plans keep changing with the political winds.
Biden's plans are what he reads off of a teleprompter. Everyone 8ncluding Joe the lying commie troll knows Biden has nothing to do with it. Biden hasn't a lucid thought of his own in quite awhile.
Quote from: Killer Clouds on October 18, 2020, 09:52:44 AM
Biden's plans are what he reads off of a teleprompter. Everyone 8ncluding Joe the lying commie troll knows Biden has nothing to do with it. Biden hasn't a lucid thought of his own in quite awhile.
That's the thing, he can't remember what his plan is, because it isn't his.
(https://www.brainyquote.com/photos_tr/en/m/marktwain/133066/marktwain1-2x.jpg)
Quote from: joesixpack on October 18, 2020, 09:18:09 AM
Why would I abandon a reputable source? Either refute the information directly or accept it as fact. If you choose to dismiss it then there's no point in conversing.
I do not have to refute your polls, you already did: this is off one of your posts "To this point...I recently saw somewhere that
even if the polls were off by the same amount as 2016, Biden would still win the Electoral College votes." So if I know the poll was wrong, and you know the poll was wrong, what is left to refute?
Quote from: Possum on October 18, 2020, 03:57:07 PM
I do not have to refute your polls, you already did: this is off one of your posts "To this point...I recently saw somewhere that even if the polls were off by the same amount as 2016, Biden would still win the Electoral College votes." So if I know the poll was wrong, and you know the poll was wrong, what is left to refute?
Damn, you really got him by the balls there, :lol: :lol: :lol:
Quote from: Possum on October 18, 2020, 03:57:07 PM
I do not have to refute your polls, you already did: this is off one of your posts "To this point...I recently saw somewhere that even if the polls were off by the same amount as 2016, Biden would still win the Electoral College votes." So if I know the poll was wrong, and you know the poll was wrong, what is left to refute?
You're stuck on the poll numbers. I haven't posted poll numbers, I've posted analysis that if the polls are off, Biden still wins.
Apparently, he's up by a lot in enough polls where that's the case.
If this happens again:
Florida: The RCP polling average showed Trump leading by 0.2; he's projected to win by 1.4.
New Hampshire: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 0.6; he's projected to lose by 0.1.
North Carolina: The RCP polling average showed Trump up 1.0; he's projected to win by 3.8.
Nevada: The RCP polling average showed Trump up 0.8; he's projected to lose by 2.4.
Colorado: The RCP polling average showed Trump down 2.9; he's projected to lose by 3.9.
Pennsylvania: The RCP polling average showed Trump down 1.9; he's projected to win by 1.0.
Michigan: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 3.4; he's projected to win by 0.2.
Ohio: The RCP polling average showed Trump up by 3.5; he's projected to win by 8.5.
Wisconsin: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 6.5; he's projected to win by 0.9.
As you can see, Trump under-performed his polling averages in Nevada and Colorado, and he exceeded expectations the critical states he needed to win the Electoral College. Michigan is the perfect example. And the only huge polling miss in the presidential race was Wisconsin, where even the gold-standard Marquette poll finally got it wrong.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/tag/donald-trump?source=%2Fweekly-standard%2Fthe-presidential-polls-werent-that-far-offBiden still wins.
So, either most of the polls gotta be off by more than their Margins of Error this time around; Or Trump has some ground to make-up.
It is what it is. In 15 days we'll know.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 18, 2020, 06:02:29 PM
You're stuck on the poll numbers. I haven't posted poll numbers, I've posted analysis that if the polls are off, Biden still wins.
Apparently, he's up by a lot in enough polls where that's the case.
If this happens again:
Florida: The RCP polling average showed Trump leading by 0.2; he's projected to win by 1.4.
New Hampshire: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 0.6; he's projected to lose by 0.1.
North Carolina: The RCP polling average showed Trump up 1.0; he's projected to win by 3.8.
Nevada: The RCP polling average showed Trump up 0.8; he's projected to lose by 2.4.
Colorado: The RCP polling average showed Trump down 2.9; he's projected to lose by 3.9.
Pennsylvania: The RCP polling average showed Trump down 1.9; he's projected to win by 1.0.
Michigan: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 3.4; he's projected to win by 0.2.
Ohio: The RCP polling average showed Trump up by 3.5; he's projected to win by 8.5.
Wisconsin: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 6.5; he's projected to win by 0.9.
As you can see, Trump under-performed his polling averages in Nevada and Colorado, and he exceeded expectations the critical states he needed to win the Electoral College. Michigan is the perfect example. And the only huge polling miss in the presidential race was Wisconsin, where even the gold-standard Marquette poll finally got it wrong.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/tag/donald-trump?source=%2Fweekly-standard%2Fthe-presidential-polls-werent-that-far-off
Biden still wins.
So, either most of the polls gotta be off by more than their Margins of Error this time around; Or Trump has some ground to make-up.
It is what it is. In 15 days we'll know.
So I am a very old Conservative why do you keep posting all your BS. Lets just see what happens in 15 days. Your BS agenda is going no place on this board.
Quote from: walkstall on October 18, 2020, 06:13:26 PM
So I am a very old Conservative why do you keep posting all your BS. Lets just see what happens in 15 days. Your BS agenda is going no place on this board.
I've said that a number of times...we agree.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 18, 2020, 06:02:29 PM
You're stuck on the poll numbers. I haven't posted poll numbers, I've posted analysis that if the polls are off, Biden still wins.
Apparently, he's up by a lot in enough polls where that's the case.
If this happens again:
Florida: The RCP polling average showed Trump leading by 0.2; he's projected to win by 1.4.
New Hampshire: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 0.6; he's projected to lose by 0.1.
North Carolina: The RCP polling average showed Trump up 1.0; he's projected to win by 3.8.
Nevada: The RCP polling average showed Trump up 0.8; he's projected to lose by 2.4.
Colorado: The RCP polling average showed Trump down 2.9; he's projected to lose by 3.9.
Pennsylvania: The RCP polling average showed Trump down 1.9; he's projected to win by 1.0.
Michigan: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 3.4; he's projected to win by 0.2.
Ohio: The RCP polling average showed Trump up by 3.5; he's projected to win by 8.5.
Wisconsin: The RCP polling average showed Trump down by 6.5; he's projected to win by 0.9.
As you can see, Trump under-performed his polling averages in Nevada and Colorado, and he exceeded expectations the critical states he needed to win the Electoral College. Michigan is the perfect example. And the only huge polling miss in the presidential race was Wisconsin, where even the gold-standard Marquette poll finally got it wrong.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/tag/donald-trump?source=%2Fweekly-standard%2Fthe-presidential-polls-werent-that-far-off
Biden still wins.
So, either most of the polls gotta be off by more than their Margins of Error this time around; Or Trump has some ground to make-up.
It is what it is. In 15 days we'll know.
So let me get this straight, you're not posting poll numbers, and your evidence for this is "Posting Poll Numbers"? :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Quote from: joesixpack on October 18, 2020, 06:56:17 PM
I've said that a number of times...we agree.
They WHY keep posting more of your BS? :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
...and this is WITHOUT CA, IL, and NY.
https://twitter.com/AirBossUT5/status/1317993183301627904
Quote from: joesixpack on October 18, 2020, 06:02:29 PM
You're stuck on the poll numbers. I haven't posted poll numbers, I've posted analysis that if the polls are off, Biden still wins.
It is what it is. In 15 days we'll know.
What you posted was if they were off
again then biden still wins. What do you mean "still"? Is it a given? Is the fix in? And it is not the poll numbers I am stuck on, I have not posted any. It is the common theme that most who post here agree, you post b.s.
Quote from: Possum on October 19, 2020, 03:28:32 AM
What you posted was if they were off again then biden still wins. What do you mean "still"? Is it a given? Is the fix in? And it is not the poll numbers I am stuck on, I have not posted any. It is the common theme that most who post here agree, you post b.s.
Quote from: walkstall on October 18, 2020, 07:22:52 PM
They WHY keep posting more of your BS? :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
To you both...
It's only BS to you because you don't like the news.
You can't refute it, so you'd rather ignore it. So be it.
Quote from: taxed on October 18, 2020, 10:36:34 PM
...and this is WITHOUT CA, IL, and NY.
https://twitter.com/AirBossUT5/status/1317993183301627904
:laugh:
I seriously doubt he'll do better this time around than in 2016.
Hillary was a terrible disliked person. Just off that alone Biden should be more competitive
Quote from: joesixpack on October 18, 2020, 09:18:09 AM
I trust that you're a voter that likes to research candidate's stances before you vote for them.
https://joebiden.com/joes-vision/#
Check out Joe's.
Also, I reacently heard to pretty good podcast episodes that touched on them both
Joe's:
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/16/podcasts/the-daily/joe-biden-policies-election.html
and Don's:
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/15/podcasts/the-daily/donald-trump-election.html
Like I said, I like Biden's more. You're free to decide which one you like and vote for the candidate.
Don't know. Additionally, we don't know for sure if those Trump rally #'s are accurate either. No one has ever seen them or verified them.
Why would I abandon a reputable source? Either refute the information directly or accept it as fact. If you choose to dismiss it then there's no point in conversing.
Pure BS. I checked one of the links and nothing more than more promises. Nothing concrete. The democrats depend on folks like you to believe their empty words.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 19, 2020, 05:42:08 AM
To you both...
It's only BS to you because you don't like the news.
You can't refute it, so you'd rather ignore it. So be it.
The news????? :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: You are posting opinion fluff pieces, that is why you are being called out. Damn son, grow up.
(https://i2.wp.com/politicallyincorrecthumor.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/joe-biden-stop-looking-into-my-corruption.jpg?resize=525%2C354&ssl=1)
Quote from: supsalemgr on October 19, 2020, 05:55:10 AM
Pure BS. I checked one of the links and nothing more than more promises. Nothing concrete. The democrats depend on folks like you to believe their empty words.
Well, nothing is concrete until it's done. In 2015, the Wall was also a promise and empty words.
Quote from: Possum on October 19, 2020, 05:57:20 AM
The news????? :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: You are posting opinion fluff pieces, that is why you are being called out. Damn son, grow up.
I've posted 0 opinion pieces. Only facts.
I have, though, given
my opinion.
Again, don't get upset because we disagree. It's just a prediction. We'll see what's what in a couple of weeks
Quote from: joesixpack on October 19, 2020, 06:12:32 AM
Well, nothing is concrete until it's done. In 2015, the Wall was also a promise and empty words.
I've posted 0 opinion pieces. Only facts.
I have, though, given my opinion.
Again, don't get upset because we disagree. It's just a prediction. We'll see what's what in a couple of weeks
Jeeeezus block head, what the fuck do you think leftist polls are, science? They're all fuckin opinion pieces based on manipulated math, that's it!!!
Now, why don't you address reality for a change and hit a thread that isn't based in opinion, but real life...
http://conservativepoliticalforum.com/political-discussion-and-debate/no-one-is-attending-biden-rallies/
Quote from: Solar on October 19, 2020, 06:21:28 AM
Jeeeezus block head, what the fuck do you think leftist polls are, science? They're all fuckin opinion pieces based on manipulated math, that's it!!!
Now, why don't you address reality for a change and hit a thread that isn't based in opinion, but real life...
http://conservativepoliticalforum.com/political-discussion-and-debate/no-one-is-attending-biden-rallies/
Solar, the polls are widely used political tools. Trump and all political figures use them as a measurement tool. The polls aren't exact, that's why Margin of Errors are included. But they are definitely tools of poltical science.
I'll see you in the other thread, since you anxiously want my company there.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 19, 2020, 07:08:16 AM
Solar, the polls are widely used political tools. Trump and all political figures use them as a measurement tool. The polls aren't exact, that's why Margin of Errors are included. But they are definitely tools of poltical science.
I'll see you in the other thread, since you anxiously want my company there.
Thank you for admitting the obvious, they are politically manipulated numbers by the left to get a Communist elected.
Problem is, no one trusts these Leftist polls in the least.............
Quote from: Solar on October 19, 2020, 07:31:11 AM
Thank you for admitting the obvious, they are politically manipulated numbers by the left to get a Communist elected.
Problem is, no one trusts these Leftist polls in the least.............
All politicians use polls. Trump himself is always raving about his approval rating amongst Republicans. Not a left or right thing. It's a politics thing and this is a political board.
Based on Common Sense, the following is definitely true.
Trump has lost little, if any, in the way of Base Voters.
Trump has gained in previously lost Battleground States.
39-40% African Americans are intending to Vote Trump.
Popularity among Hispanic Voters is way up.
The Trump Team has signed up Millions of first time voters.
The Military approves of re election by 91%.
EVERY cop in the USA plans to vote Trump.
Farmers, Energy workers, miners all love Trump.
I wonder if the Jewish Voters will appreciate Trump's Middle East Policy.
Women seem to be shifting over to Trump.
Now, understanding that Trump, was down 12 to Hitlery, he is likely beating Biden handily.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 19, 2020, 07:41:47 AM
All politicians use polls. Trump himself is always raving about his approval rating amongst Republicans. Not a left or right thing. It's a politics thing and this is a political board.
And you're a lying commie piece of shit on a conservative website so that makes you a troll.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 19, 2020, 07:41:47 AM
All politicians use polls. Trump himself is always raving about his approval rating amongst Republicans. Not a left or right thing. It's a politics thing and this is a political board.
Internal polls are closest to the truth, Trump getting high numbers from the base is a nobrainer, no one is running against him.
During the DNC debates, Biden polled below the rest, couldn't beat one of the contenders in a head, and Kamala dropped out before the debates were even finished.
And these are the two you're touting as beating Trump? They couldn't even beat the people in their own party. :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Quote from: joesixpack on October 19, 2020, 06:12:32 AM
Well, nothing is concrete until it's done. In 2015, the Wall was also a promise and empty words.
I've posted 0 opinion pieces. Only facts.
I have, though, given my opinion.
Again, don't get upset because we disagree. It's just a prediction. We'll see what's what in a couple of weeks
First off, don't worry about me getting upset, it just does not happen that often and I don't believe it will start here. Second, I am beginning to think you would not know a fact if it kicked you in the butt as you have not posted facts.
Third, I have not seen any evidence that Trump has given up in the wall. There have been roadblocks by the democrats and that has slowed down the building. I would not call that a broken promise, Trump is still trying.
Forth, I would like your take on the hunter biden emails that are rocking the airways, should a candidate who helped family members get rich off of his influence still be in the running for president?
Quote from: tiny1 on October 19, 2020, 07:56:24 AM
The Military approves of re election by 91%.
And yet they don't.
QuoteIn the latest results — based on 1,018 active-duty troops surveyed in late July and early August — nearly half of respondents (49.9 percent) had an unfavorable view of the president, compared to about 38 percent who had a favorable view. Questions in the poll had a margin of error of up to 2 percent.
Among all survey participants, 42 percent said they "strongly" disapprove of Trump's time in office.
https://www.militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-congress/2020/08/31/as-trumps-popularity-slips-in-latest-military-times-poll-more-troops-say-theyll-vote-for-biden/
This is the problem with willful self-delusion. You are blinded to the train barrelling toward you in the tunnel, even as the lights are blinding you and the horn is screaming.
Quote from: Barricade on October 19, 2020, 12:19:47 PM
And yet they don't.
https://www.militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-congress/2020/08/31/as-trumps-popularity-slips-in-latest-military-times-poll-more-troops-say-theyll-vote-for-biden/
This is the problem with willful self-delusion. You are blinded to the train barrelling toward you in the tunnel, even as the lights are blinding you and the horn is screaming.
More Fake News Bull Shit!!!
It's a Dot Com site, in other words, I could run the same kind of poll and claim it reliable.
Quote from: Solar on October 19, 2020, 12:44:07 PM
More Fake News Bull Shit!!!
It's a Dot Com site, in other words, I could run the same kind of poll and claim it reliable.
I know. Everything that makes Trump look bad is FAKE NEWS! Everything that could possibly indicate problems for Trump in the election is FAKE NEWS!
Quote from: Solar on October 19, 2020, 12:44:07 PM
More Fake News Bull Shit!!!
It's a Dot Com site, in other words, I could run the same kind of poll and claim it reliable.
Wow Barricad is getting desperate.
Quote from: walkstall on October 19, 2020, 12:49:26 PM
Wow Barricad is getting desperate.
Actually, I am enjoying the desperate clawing efforts by Trump's devotees to make his slide into the abyss something else. You can only put so much lipstick on a pig.
Quote from: Barricade on October 19, 2020, 12:53:38 PM
Actually, I am enjoying the desperate clawing efforts by Trump's devotees to make his slide into the abyss something else. You can only put so much lipstick on a pig.
And I bet you have a lot of experience there. :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Quote from: Barricade on October 19, 2020, 12:53:38 PM
Actually, I am enjoying the desperate clawing efforts by Trump's devotees to make his slide into the abyss something else. You can only put so much lipstick on a pig.
And you are having a very hard time even doing that. You and Joe6pack must be using the same lipstick and pig.
Quote from: Barricade on October 19, 2020, 12:46:45 PM
I know. Everything that makes Trump look bad is FAKE NEWS! Everything that could possibly indicate problems for Trump in the election is FAKE NEWS!
A company that owns USA Today sold it to Sightline Media Group. Catch that Genius? A Fuckin Media Group!
Quit posting bull shit , no one buys your crap!
Quote from: Barricade on October 19, 2020, 12:46:45 PM
I know. Everything that makes Trump look bad is FAKE NEWS! Everything that could possibly indicate problems for Trump in the election is FAKE NEWS!
Well the media has a documented history of TDS, so yes everything they post is fake news, and the thing is they are the only ones saying anything bad about trump. When all they have is ORANGE MAN BAD you realize there is nothing bad about trump. Some ppl are just good ppl and trumps one of them. Keep showing us how triggered you are tho, its funny.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 21, 2020, 04:10:33 AM
"For those wondering this is the current electoral map with the polls swinging like they did in 2016 ( they really didn't, only Wisconsin honestly) based on RCP averages"
Texas is a swing state? You are too funny Joe.
Quote from: Possum on October 21, 2020, 04:21:42 AM
Texas is a swing state? You are too funny Joe.
I didn't say it was.
The map shows that if the polls swing like they did in 2016, Trump would win Texas
Quote from: joesixpack on October 21, 2020, 04:33:43 AM
I didn't say it was.
The map shows that if the polls swing like they did in 2016, Trump would win Texas
Stop posting complete and utter Bull Shit!!! The Fuckin child Marxists at Imgur are in no way experts beyond pop jokes!
You want to post shit, it better come with accreditation.
Quote from: Solar on October 21, 2020, 04:48:09 AM
Stop posting complete and utter Bull Shit!!! The Fuckin child Marxists at Imgur are in no way experts beyond pop jokes!
You want to post shit, it better come with accreditation.
This is why he keeps getting a timeout.
While Trump has multiple roads to victory, his most likely route hinges on winning two crucial battleground states: Florida and Pennsylvania. If he can claim both and hold onto other Sun Belt states he narrowly carried in 2016 — North Carolina and Arizona — while playing defense in Georgia and Ohio, which he won handily in 2016 but where Biden is now competitive, he will win.
https://floridapolitics.com/archives/376423-donald-trumps-best-path-to-victory-hinges-on-florida-pennsylvania
From all that I've seen, FL, PA, and OH and the keys to a Trump victory. It's going to be a nail-biter, folks.
We might know who wins by the 11PM news unless there are delays in those 3 States.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 22, 2020, 07:22:25 AM
While Trump has multiple roads to victory, his most likely route hinges on winning two crucial battleground states: Florida and Pennsylvania. If he can claim both and hold onto other Sun Belt states he narrowly carried in 2016 — North Carolina and Arizona — while playing defense in Georgia and Ohio, which he won handily in 2016 but where Biden is now competitive, he will win.
https://floridapolitics.com/archives/376423-donald-trumps-best-path-to-victory-hinges-on-florida-pennsylvania
From all that I've seen, FL, PA, and OH and the keys to a Trump victory. It's going to be a nail-biter, folks.
We might know who wins by the 11PM news unless there are delays in those 3 States.
My key states will be FL, GA and NC. If Trump wins those states he will win.
I just saw a video that said the D's have a 96% chance of retaining the House.
If that's the case, I think the Presidency is locked up, but also, the Senate might be theirs too.
Reason being, the House is guaranteed to stay with the D's, imo. I don't think anyone here would disagree.
The same video said that if Biden retains the States that Clinton won, it puts him at a 97% chance of victory. So, that's a guarantee too, imo.
If that happens, the Senate would definitely be in play for the Dems to take control in.
the video was posted today on the "Let's Talk Elections" YT page
Quote from: joesixpack on October 23, 2020, 12:35:23 PM
I just saw a video that said the D's have a 96% chance of retaining the House.
If that's the case, I think the Presidency is locked up, but also, the Senate might be theirs too.
Reason being, the House is guaranteed to stay with the D's, imo. I don't think anyone here would disagree.
The same video said that if Biden retains the States that Clinton won, it puts him at a 97% chance of victory. So, that's a guarantee too, imo.
If that happens, the Senate would definitely be in play for the Dems to take control in.
the video was posted today on the "Let's Talk Elections" YT page
I disagree with everything you say Joe the lying commie troll. If you say the sky is blue I'd still look outside to check. You're a lying asshole.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 23, 2020, 12:35:23 PM
I just saw a video that said the D's have a 96% chance of retaining the House.
If that's the case, I think the Presidency is locked up, but also, the Senate might be theirs too.
Reason being, the House is guaranteed to stay with the D's, imo. I don't think anyone here would disagree.
The same video said that if Biden retains the States that Clinton won, it puts him at a 97% chance of victory. So, that's a guarantee too, imo.
If that happens, the Senate would definitely be in play for the Dems to take control in.
the video was posted today on the "Let's Talk Elections" YT page
(https://conservativepoliticalforum.com/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2F2.bp.blogspot.com%2F-rLHpEHrXcWg%2FTskKIQGKmOI%2FAAAAAAAABgQ%2FCkY1WGbvazs%2Fs1600%2Fyawn.png&hash=10803910a8bc5d726467c968646451244f5eaec4)
Joe your posts are getting old. Hell b o could not even help Sleepy Joe. :lol:
Quote from: joesixpack on October 23, 2020, 12:35:23 PM
I just saw a video that said the D's have a 96% chance of retaining the House.
If that's the case, I think the Presidency is locked up, but also, the Senate might be theirs too.
Reason being, the House is guaranteed to stay with the D's, imo. I don't think anyone here would disagree.
The same video said that if Biden retains the States that Clinton won, it puts him at a 97% chance of victory. So, that's a guarantee too, imo.
If that happens, the Senate would definitely be in play for the Dems to take control in.
the video was posted today on the "Let's Talk Elections" YT page
That's funny, I just saw one proving the Dims lose the House. As well as ever having any chance of regaining credibility.
In other words, the DNC is dead!
Quote from: joesixpack on October 23, 2020, 12:35:23 PM
I just saw a video that said the D's have a 96% chance of retaining the House.
If that's the case, I think the Presidency is locked up, but also, the Senate might be theirs too.
Reason being, the House is guaranteed to stay with the D's, imo. I don't think anyone here would disagree.
The same video said that if Biden retains the States that Clinton won, it puts him at a 97% chance of victory. So, that's a guarantee too, imo.
If that happens, the Senate would definitely be in play for the Dems to take control in.
the video was posted today on the "Let's Talk Elections" YT page
Are you trying to convince us or yourself?
I didn't think GA was truly in play but this information has made me think it's going to Biden:
https://www.ajc.com/politics/georgia-made-more-competitive-by-1m-new-voters-since-16-election/HILWB73PC5ECNFZMYCA67LPRGI/
1 million new voters since 2016
2/3 thirds of those are POC
Georgia generally is not a retirement state so it's unlikely that older voters that skew Republican are the other third. It's more likely those are younger white people that are college graduates.
The last three presidential elections were decided consistently in the 200K range
The last governor's race was 50K
Especially since so many older people of color have already turned out with more than a week left. These have to be infrequent voters, but they're certainly motivated.
https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1320456864296013830?s=20
Additionally, based on the breakdown of whose voted and how Independents are voting, Biden might have NC and FL as well.
https://twitter.com/matthewjdowd/status/1320426372028895237?s=20
https://twitter.com/skywalkm/status/1320466804737757185?s=20
I'm pairing that information with the callers to our local radio show. Most of the Independents went to Biden.
You can listen to it here: https://www.wlrn.org/podcast/the-florida-roundup/2020-10-23/floridas-independent-voters-are-split-on-presidential-candidates
Unless this turns around in the next week. We might be looking at a Biden blowout
Quote from: joesixpack on October 25, 2020, 04:24:23 PM
I didn't think GA was truly in play but this information has made me think it's going to Biden:
https://www.ajc.com/politics/georgia-made-more-competitive-by-1m-new-voters-since-16-election/HILWB73PC5ECNFZMYCA67LPRGI/
1 million new voters since 2016
2/3 thirds of those are POC
Georgia generally is not a retirement state so it's unlikely that older voters that skew Republican are the other third. It's more likely those are younger white people that are college graduates.
The last three presidential elections were decided consistently in the 200K range
The last governor's race was 50K
Especially since so many older people of color have already turned out with more than a week left. These have to be infrequent voters, but they're certainly motivated.
https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1320456864296013830?s=20
Additionally, based on the breakdown of whose voted and how Independents are voting, Biden might have NC and FL as well.
https://twitter.com/matthewjdowd/status/1320426372028895237?s=20
https://twitter.com/skywalkm/status/1320466804737757185?s=20
I'm pairing that information with the callers to our local radio show. Most of the Independents went to Biden.
You can listen to it here: https://www.wlrn.org/podcast/the-florida-roundup/2020-10-23/floridas-independent-voters-are-split-on-presidential-candidates
Unless this turns around in the next week. We might be looking at a Biden blowout
Here's the problem Joe the lying commie troll you keep referencing POLLS! Only idiots like you believe the polls. POTUS Hitlary doesn't believe the polls so why do you?
Moved to Conspiracy Forum, because the polls are all lies!
Biden will get his ass handed to him, and the DNC party will collapse!
this thread has almost 140 responses and only 5 or 6 polls were posted. if the Election Countdown thread is a conspiracy, there's no hope that self professed Trump Cult members will be happy with the results on November 3rd.
Quote from: Possum on October 23, 2020, 02:40:59 PM
Are you trying to convince us or yourself?
:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
I think he's trying to convince himself, but he knows he's lying...
Quote from: joesixpack on October 25, 2020, 06:09:06 PM
this thread has almost 140 responses and only 5 or 6 polls were posted. if the Election Countdown thread is a conspiracy, there's no hope that self professed Trump Cult members will be happy with the results on November 3rd.
Why would we not be happy with Biden getting trounced?
You make no sense.
Quote from: taxed on October 25, 2020, 07:01:26 PM
Why would we not be happy with Biden getting trounced?
You make no sense.
I'm on record predicting a win for Biden. I think the Independents are going to carry him home and turnout will be almost equal for D's and R's.
A better question is why the Election Countdown is considered a 'conspiracy'.
The election is certainly going to happen, no reason this shouldn't be in the main forum.
why are you guys allowing my sock to post? :popcorn:
Quote from: Calypso Jones on October 25, 2020, 08:04:43 PM
why are you guys allowing my sock to post? :popcorn:
For one thing, he is making a fool of himself all on his own. :lol:
Quote from: joesixpack on October 25, 2020, 07:09:48 PM
I'm on record predicting a win for Biden. I think the Independents are going to carry him home and turnout will be almost equal for D's and R's.
A better question is why the Election Countdown is considered a 'conspiracy'.
The election is certainly going to happen, no reason this shouldn't be in the main forum.
:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
You truly are delusional, Independents went to Trump long ago. Joe hasn't a chance in Hell, which no doubt, he'll be discovering soon enough. all by himself, closely followed by a suicidal Hunter.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 25, 2020, 07:09:48 PM
I'm on record predicting a win for Biden.
Nobody said you were smart.
QuoteI think
You don't think; you're stupid.
Quotethe Independents are going to carry him home and turnout will be almost equal for D's and R's.
A better question is why the Election Countdown is considered a 'conspiracy'.
The election is certainly going to happen, no reason this shouldn't be in the main forum.
You have absolutely no idea what you're talking about. It's annoying for people to listen to someone who is stupid try and have opinions on things.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 25, 2020, 04:24:23 PM
Unless this turns around in the next week. We might be looking at a Biden blowout
Well, ol joe is sure trying to turn it around, he announced he has put a lid on ALL OF HIS CAMPAIGNING nine days out from the election. :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: He's tired.
Quote from: taxed on October 25, 2020, 10:11:13 PM
Nobody said you were smart.
You don't think; you're stupid.
You have absolutely no idea what you're talking about. It's annoying for people to listen to someone who is stupid try and have opinions on things.
I doubt he believes 99% of the shit he posts, seeing how he's paid to play the fool.
Quote from: Possum on October 26, 2020, 04:30:00 AM
Well, ol joe is sure trying to turn it around, he announced he has put a lid on ALL OF HIS CAMPAIGNING nine days out from the election. :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: He's tired.
I don't know what you're talking about...Biden is scheduled to come to South Florida later this week.
If things continue as they are, I'm thinking he might get more Electoral Votes than Obama did
Quote from: joesixpack on October 26, 2020, 06:40:02 AM
I don't know what you're talking about...Biden is scheduled to come to South Florida later this week.
If things continue as they are, I'm thinking he might get more Electoral Votes than Obama did
Why is he going to Florida, I thought he had that wrapped up?
Quote from: Possum on October 26, 2020, 07:04:42 AM
Why is he going to Florida, I thought he had that wrapped up?
:laugh:
damned if you do, damned if you don't
I think he's gonna win Florida. Maybe he's crossing his T's and dotting his I's.
Don was just here too, so I guess they're both going to campaign til the end. Imagine that.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 26, 2020, 07:07:24 AM
:laugh:
damned if you do, damned if you don't
I think he's gonna win Florida. Maybe he's crossing his T's and dotting his I's.
Don was just here too, so I guess they're both going to campaign til the end. Imagine that.
Why is joe campaigning against George? https://trendingpolitics.com/watch-joe-biden-confuses-trump-with-george-bush-4-more-years-of-george-eh-george-eh/
:lol: :lol: :lol: Can you post pics of bidens rally in s. Florida? Maybe a group picture of all eight of them.
Quote from: Possum on October 26, 2020, 07:11:31 AM
Why is joe campaigning against George? https://trendingpolitics.com/watch-joe-biden-confuses-trump-with-george-bush-4-more-years-of-george-eh-george-eh/
:lol: :lol: :lol: Can you post pics of bidens rally in s. Florida? Maybe a group picture of all eight of them.
:laugh:
If rallies won elections it'd be Don vs Bernie.
Quote from: joesixpack on October 26, 2020, 07:14:54 AM
:laugh:
If rallies won elections it'd be Don vs Bernie.
That cackle you hear is hillary commenting on your statement. :lol: :lol:
Quote from: joesixpack on October 26, 2020, 06:40:02 AM
I don't know what you're talking about...Biden is scheduled to come to South Florida later this week.
If things continue as they are, I'm thinking he might get more Electoral Votes than Obama did
:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
"Come On Man", not even you believe that shit!!! :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: